Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Janisthebeauty 3.50 1.00 3.80 2.80 2.60
6 B B Gun Bullseye 5.00 2.96 4.80 3.80
5 Paramour 4.50 2.49 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-6) Pays $10.30
$0.50 Trifecta (7-6-5) Pays $18.70
$0.10 Superfecta (7-6-5-2) Pays $13.80


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Tapistar 3.00 2.06 7.00 3.40 3.00
1 Golduster 2.50 1.00 2.60 2.10
3 Premium 10.00 3.92 4.20

$1.00 Exacta (2-1) Pays $7.60
$0.50 Trifecta (2-1-3) Pays $18.55
$0.10 Superfecta (2-1-3-6) Pays $10.33


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Duke of Blue Ridge 3.50 2.27 3.60 2.80 2.20
3 Jeffrow 6.00 3.15 4.40 3.20
4 Quarter Rat 6.00 5.27 5.20

$1.00 Exacta (2-3) Pays $7.50
$0.50 Trifecta (2-3-4) Pays $18.60
$0.10 Superfecta (2-3-4-6) Pays $16.06


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Father Red 2.50 1.47 3.80 2.40 2.10
5 Midnight Oil 4.00 1.00 2.60 2.10
6 Let’s Go Random 12.00 4.22 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-5) Pays $4.60
$0.50 Trifecta (1-5-6) Pays $9.40
$0.10 Superfecta (1-5-6-3) Pays $4.96


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Reckless Ransom 3.50 2.48 5.60 3.60 3.40
11 Lt. Bonura 8.00 1.00 4.40 4.00
5 Loveu and Proudofu 30.00 9.61 13.80

$1.00 Exacta (6-11) Pays $16.70
$0.50 Trifecta (6-11-5) Pays $124.55
$0.10 Superfecta (6-11-5-2) Pays $193.68


RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Michelles Lil Star 2.50 1.00 3.20 2.40 2.10
8 Bandit’s Pride 8.00 5.49 11.40 6.20
6 Shes a Lucky Rebel 3.50 4.97 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (7-8) Pays $19.60
$0.50 Trifecta (7-8-6) Pays $65.75
$0.10 Superfecta (7-8-6-5) Pays $30.09


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Vale Male 4.50 3.83 12.20 4.40 3.40
5 Medley 4.50 1.00 3.20 2.80
2 Courtly Doc 10.00 6.17 8.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-5) Pays $19.50
$0.50 Trifecta (7-5-2) Pays $119.70
$0.10 Superfecta (7-5-2-10) Pays $198.89


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Heartyconstitution 4.00 2.67 5.20 4.00 3.60
7 Now Yus Cant Leave 5.00 5.12 8.80 5.40
3 Precursory 3.50 6.41 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $18.20
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-3) Pays $45.10
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-3-6) Pays $47.23


RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Bunkie’s Song 12.00 5.52 96.80 31.60 12.40
11 Nosy Banker 8.00 4.42 9.80 5.40
1 Smooth Colliery 6.00 4.43 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-11) Pays $480.50
$0.50 Trifecta (7-11-1) Pays $1,352.05
$0.10 Superfecta (7-11-1-3) Pays $2,296.71


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.