Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Victoria’s Chief 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Fortheloveofart 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 For the Chief 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Heathguard 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Quick Quick Whit 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Aaron 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Ensign Skip 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Rollercoaster Man 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Adios Asher 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Quite Ready 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Brit’s Candyman 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Toretto 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Monforte 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Big and Classy 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Forty Flash 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Murder Hornet 0 0-1
8 8 Macassa 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Marthamaywhovier 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Murder Hornet 15.00 3 6-1
10 10 Kindness Is Free 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Good Talk 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Interesting Gem 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Algarca 20.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 My Insanity 15.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Our La Dolce Vita 20.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Blueberry Queen 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Apple Saucy 30.00 9.1 17-1
16 16 Love Unlimited 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Metaxa Grande 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Heading West 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Always Connected 1.60 SCRATCH
15 15 Sponger 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yes I’m a Beast 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Picking Up Pennies 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Collaborate 1.20 1.4 3-1
2 2 Living Water 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Doc Amster 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 King’s Ovation 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Starship Sunrise 0 0-1
8 8 Forever Uncaptured 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Meetmeatthebeach 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Our Fortune Cookie 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Starship Sunrise 15.00 3 6-1
12 12 Dandelion 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Chilly Chocolate 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Face the Music 6.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Krabi 6.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Mighty Gin Gin 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Hits Different 12.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Chaina 10.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Dan’s Candi Girl 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Miss Bia 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Border Town 0 0-1
4 4 Light Fury 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Calibrator 1.60 1.9 4-1
5 5 Border Town 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Call Curt 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bob Marco 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Split the Wickets 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Vladislav 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 A Rose for Raven 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 She’s Awesome 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cindylouwho 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Sugar Boo 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Accede 2.50 6.8 13-1
6 6 Etna’s Napper 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Snow Princess 4.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Dekanter 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Maerdama 6.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Portage 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bank Frenzy 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gold Magic 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 English Bob 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Great Navigator 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ticking 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Street Swagg 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Live Is Life 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Diamond Cool 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Make the Boys Wink 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Milieu 4.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Solicitation 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Lakeside Getaway 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Conseillante 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Fancy 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tar Heel Girl 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Preliminary (GB) 3.50 6.5 12-1
8 8 Party Time 30.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Red Roulette 4.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Secrets Galore 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.