Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Soddy Daisy 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Keen Contender 1.20 1.6 3-1
5 5 Aseel 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Sweet N Salty 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Grandma Belle 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Truebluegirl 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Canary Nation 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Five B’s 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 New Dice 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Uptown Hustler 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Saint Pio 1.80 3.2 6-1
8 8 Galactic Empire 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Brave Magic 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Botany 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Driver 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Queenies Way 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 The X Factor 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Finishwhatustarted 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sweet Holiness 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Flash of Cherokee 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sheza Cat 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Diamonds R Forever 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Home Run Trick 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Leader of Men 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Little Demon 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Colosi 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Flatout Winner 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 First Line 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Jingle 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Town Champ 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Drena’s Star 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Arthurian 1.60 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ojitos 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Smileforme 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Coal Truth 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Stormin Hongkong 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Heza Wild Ride 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tales of Home 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Silvia 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 She’s All Class 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Princedreamcess 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 Lofthouse 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Super Wonder Girl 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Comedy Act 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Lichita 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wreaking Havoc 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Windy Bay 4.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Lady With a Cause 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Perfectly Golden 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Molly of Stratford 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Pivosky 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Naughty Madam 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Lovely Joyce 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Collected Glory 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smile Happy 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Seize the Night 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Creative Minister 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Presidential 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Tiz Rye Time 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Camp David 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Speed Bias 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Congressman 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Reaux Bina 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dancin N Thepulpit 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Sophie’s Star 10.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Be Bo 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Onlythreesocks 30.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Dixie Girl To 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Dr. Woods Miracle 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Petula 30.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 May Disco 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tiz a Strategy 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 April Flower Bound 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.