Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Balentina | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Herecomes Scarlett | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Cosa | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamawayseven | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Becauseofthebrave | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greatest Love | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twice Smitten | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Beauty | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Reply | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stencil | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bells On Her Toes | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Bastet | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Raffinity | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Freddymo Factor | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Run Up the Score | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | London Gold | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Idaka | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | More Mango | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Easy Play | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spelterini | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Free | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coolcalm Collected | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mayhem Miss | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tooshay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Girl Jal | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Afjan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pressure | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Legendary Lore | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Achilles Heel | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Norgay | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Open Til Midnight | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clash A. J. | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going in Style | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midtown Lights | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monroe | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’mhavingamoment | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Princess | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luna Loca | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harlan’s Bond | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lavon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mommasgottarun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pharoah’s Heart | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Moxy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Money | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toned Up | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Self Isolation | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Empire Sky | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Cent Town | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On the Ledge | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scherzando | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Superb Surprise | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tie Breaker | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stonecoldwarrior | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Central Station | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.