Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hardy Choice | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kalik | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Certain | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Windsor Park | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cumberland | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leftembehind | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | America’s Guest | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forge in Fire | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wimhof | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ode to War | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cosmic Stardust | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rigel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | El Oro (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mama Maria | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Confer | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Principia | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy But Precious | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cecilia’s Wings | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sin for a Season | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Erin’s Moment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Famous Gent | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heymackit’sjack | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inevtabl Conection | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Future | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rugged Union | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raise a Profit | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back to Normal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Solomons Gold | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eventful | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | W. P. Cadet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Father Delay | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Tiger | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Unison | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sound Doctrine | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Fury | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beth’s Dream | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Music City Star | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Juice (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soul of an Angel | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose E Holiday | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Get Khozy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy Runner | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Most Wanted Man | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Racket | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Memories R Magic | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oglethorpe | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Levity | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exact Estimate | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ortus | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Kringle | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zakhari | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bosque Redondo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trevess | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovin Makes Cents | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Designed by Kitten | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mercury Head | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Lady | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Hay Paula | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Proper Manners | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Onezy’s Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Golden Isle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Heir to the Roar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rockstar Ro | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Masterofthesenate | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Spirit | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Group Hug | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ski Patrol | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Rainbows | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Father Glado | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bali Baby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Demurely | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Muguruza | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sophia’s Storm | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Politely Crowned | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Dixie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sade Purse | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mudshaft | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Cupid | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hotline to Heaven | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.