Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hardy Choice 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Kalik 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Certain 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Windsor Park 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Cumberland 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Leftembehind 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 America’s Guest 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Forge in Fire 4.50 7.5 14-1
3 3 Wimhof 4.50 7.6 14-1
5 5 Ode to War 30.00 10.1 19-1
12 12 Cosmic Stardust 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rigel 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 El Oro (FR) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mama Maria 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Confer 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Principia 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Sassy But Precious 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Cecilia’s Wings 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sin for a Season 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Erin’s Moment 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Famous Gent 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Heymackit’sjack 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Inevtabl Conection 5.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Napa Spirit (IRE) 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Bella Future 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rugged Union 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Raise a Profit 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Back to Normal 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Solomons Gold 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Eventful 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 W. P. Cadet 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Father Delay 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Noble Tiger 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Super Unison 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Sound Doctrine 4.50 7.4 14-1
2 2 Spanish Fury 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beth’s Dream 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Music City Star 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Jungle Juice (IRE) 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Soul of an Angel 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Rose E Holiday 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Don’t Get Khozy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Happy Runner 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Most Wanted Man 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Racket 12.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Memories R Magic 20.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Oglethorpe 2.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Levity 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Exact Estimate 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Ortus 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Dr Kringle 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Zakhari 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bosque Redondo 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Trevess 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lovin Makes Cents 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Designed by Kitten 3.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Mercury Head 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Foxy Lady 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Hay Hay Paula 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Proper Manners 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Onezy’s Dream 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Golden Isle 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Heir to the Roar 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rockstar Ro 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Masterofthesenate 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Royal Spirit 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Group Hug 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Ski Patrol 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Chasing Rainbows 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Father Glado 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bali Baby 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Demurely 1.40 3.2 6-1
10 10 Muguruza 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Sophia’s Storm 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Politely Crowned 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Adios Dixie 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Sade Purse 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Mudshaft 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Queen Cupid 30.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Hotline to Heaven 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.