Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brion 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Center Mid Maddie 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mr. Extension 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Young Turk 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Sumo 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Total Effort 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Despite Odds 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Gilligan 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Tam Char 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carte Blanche 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Velvet Ghost 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Albertano 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Shoot Themessenger 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Antipoison 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Unequivocal 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Ekati’s Verve 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lil Spinner 4.50 1 2-1
1A 7 Hidewright Away 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Six the Hard Way 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Sweet Shugs 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 La Grotte 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 9 Stormin’ Amanda 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 10 Diamond Sue 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Dearly 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 River City Rocker 15.00 7 13-1
7 8 Miss Antietam 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bonita Lassie 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Viking Queen 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Big Cheeks 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Bramble Bush 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Esperannna 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Folly 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Love Is Strong 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pelota 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Bahama Channel 4.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Erawan 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 King Nate 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Spring the Beast 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Excalibur 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Hagler 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Riding Cloud Nine 20.00 7.7 14-1
7 7 Mad Genius 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Minecrafter 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cocktail Dreaming 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Cowgirl Shine 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Baylis Street 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Sister’s Duty 15.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Willful Desire 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Don’t Tell Deren 5.00 4 7-1
3 3 Peach Be With Q 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 O Shaughesey 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Vegas Wild Cat 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Ojitos Bellos 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Hearditall 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Galactic Tide 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Semper Fi 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Everett’s Song 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Captain Quint 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bobby G 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Crouchelli 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Romp 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Thorny Tale 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shaft’s Bullet 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Momos 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Be Better 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Dixie Drawl 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Local Motive 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Prairie 15.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Workin On a Dream 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Guillaume 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cami Rachelle 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Irish Lace 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Best Worst Idea 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Five Star Fran 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Golden Blossom 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Let’s Make a Zeen 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hazard 30.00 6 11-1
5 5 Destined to Dance 20.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Winds of Fortune 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.