Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tizhotndusty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Storm | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Square Deal | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ginsburned | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Mo | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alvaaro | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Strategy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iconic Bonnet | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lori’s Eyes | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Relentless Rocket | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | May Disco | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brooke’s All In | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitiara | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kootenai Falls | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Too Pretty | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Dams Atitude | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C. C. Harbor | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Springs Bling | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hissy Missy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtney Fay | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Navagationalbeacon | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Ottoman | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cawkab | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Gauge | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rocking Rocket | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bucktown | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C. J’s Storm | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Namesake | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Run | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pittsburgh | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mystifier | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skyline | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Koselio | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Depart | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Levy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Best of Greeley | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Rage | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Klink | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Rocket | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ship It Red | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jerry’s Eighty | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meet Joe | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D’oro Street | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Song | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Guilt | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unstable Princess | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Bubbles | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exponential Star | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dogtown Diva | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Little Good News | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star of Tomorrow | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Speedometer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Butterbean | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Kings Princess | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Traverse | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shezz Koldazice | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Oscar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Albizu | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Life Is Hard | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Beans | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skelly | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vulcan | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whelen Springs | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Improbable Journey | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exxel | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruggs | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ghostlore | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ram | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Colonel Bowman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mowins | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.