Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Honeymoon Suite 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lemon Drop Shot 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Hulk 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 College Boy 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Ravello 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tucker’s Tribute 6.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Carpe Bellum 5.00 8 15-1
5 5 Agapetos 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tropicana Girl 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rain Diva 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Righteously 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bella Renella 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Sailing Along 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Flatterwithjewels 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Drizella 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Talklessworkmore 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Lil Richards Bello 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Nolongerahobby 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 So I’m Told 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bottle of Smoke 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trojan Way 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bonita Leona 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 California Gigi 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Spring Spinning 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Starship Sky 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Roman Empress 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Purified 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Luther Pass 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Warrior Road 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Deservedly 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Cupid’s Crusader 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Famous Star 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Silent Heat 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Money Baby 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Irish O’brien S.) – Irish O’brien S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alice Marble 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Rose Maddox 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Feeling Grazeful 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Taming the Tigress 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Big Summer 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Shocking Grey 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Big Drinker 3.50 1 2-1
12 11 Soul of Midnight 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Buck Owens 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 R Heart of Gold 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Danz Till Ten 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Smuggler’s Cove 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Regulation Dazed 6.00 4.9 9-1
14 13 Rhythem On Stage 4.00 5 9-1
8 8 Lucky Sam 12.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Glass Beach 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Chaokoon 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Le Vron James 20.00 10 19-1
15 14 We Need Marketing 20.00 10.3 19-1
13 12 Another Strike 20.00 10.6 20-1
9 98 Magic Account 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Ghostem 5.00 1 2-1
8 7 Peppermint Flirt 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Eleuthera 2.50 3 6-1
5 4 Rose Harbor 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 American Conquest 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Tecumseh Caroline 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 98 Big Mama Sue 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sunshine Babe 6.00 SCRATCH
7 6 True Patriot 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Street Ruckus 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Piroli 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mobou 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Show Time 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Finneus 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bletchley Park 4.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Got Thunder 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carson Jen 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tea Tree Bay (GB) 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Window Shopping 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Irish Patsy 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Foolish 6.00 5 10-1
8 8 Best Year Ever 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Make It Snow 4.00 7 13-1
1 1 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Galimine (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Marinas Tina (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.