Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 West Star 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Volcker Rules 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Reunion Tour 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Steerage 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Boys Code 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Sorpreso 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 M. C. Double R 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Tiza Brown 20.00 9 17-1
6 6 Somama Beach 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Got the Gold 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Patrick the Great 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 The Cobbler 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 B C Glory Days 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Jet Speed 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Gimmebackmybullets 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Papi On Ice 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot Fudge 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Leeloo 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Unsolved Mystery 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Customerexperience 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Hey Mamaluke 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Sweet Solare 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Loose Goose 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Cumberland Blues 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Frenchboro 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Cheeky Tico 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Ghostlyprince 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Our Son Jake 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Itsalittlebitfunny 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Diamond Collector 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Save Grace 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Run Devil 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Reigning Chick 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Vodkatini 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Duckphat 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Game Theory 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Clover Street 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ichiban 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Northway 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Dream On Cara 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 My Angel 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Krystalheir 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Good Accelebrate 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Bella Sonadora 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Bandulu Queen 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Vintage Hollywood 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 The Revenger 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 11 Swift Tap 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 6 Kumar 6.00 2.3 4-1
1A 10 Crypto Cash 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Forever Wicked 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Icy Storm 8.00 3 6-1
6 5 Scotty 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Marco Island 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 American Lincoln 30.00 11 21-1
9 9 Exxtop 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Full Moon Fever 1.00 1 2-1
1A 4 Ouster 1.00 1 2-1
5 6 Whittington Park 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 5 Hush of a Storm 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sundaeswithsandy 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Listentoyourheart 8.00 4 7-1
7 8 Late Night Larry 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 9 Son of an Ex 20.00 9 17-1
6 7 Doin’ittherightway 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Cicada S.) – Cicada S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Downtown Mischief 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hot Little Thing 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Fabulously Funny 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Tappin Josie 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fancy Azteca 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Musicmansandy 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lifetime of Chance 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Runandscore 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Mudville Nine 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 I’m Just 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Art of Courage 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Tunnel Vision 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 October Bliss 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Zealous Legacy 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Who Me 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Z Dancer 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.