Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mally’s Monsoon 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Stop the Madness 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Unbridled Annsley 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Corona Del Mar 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Daphne’s Fire 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Wait On Me 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Puttin’ Presley 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Harold’s Cloud 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Vale 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Path to Success 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Summer Lover 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ricky Bobby 3.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Seeking Splendor 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Flat Out American 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Run Dreaming 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Naturalbornsender 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Gypsy Jackpot 4.50 1.8 3-1
11 11 Beautifulguatemala 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bitsy Perfectmatch 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Beulah K 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Daisy de Oro 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Tdz Corrienda Star 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Ocean Fleet 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Divine Defence 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Valerie Louise 20.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Share the Doe 20.00 10.1 19-1
13 13 Beat the Double 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wupkar 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Rue Lala 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Speedy Dudette 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hei Hei Custivity 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Box of Pictures 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Ours and Theirs 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Ironit 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Inawic 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Sienna Breeze 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Desert Tempest 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Amisfield 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Boltoro 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Arden’s Assault 3.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Camelot Beauty (IRE) 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Mischievous Gal 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Urban Force 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Paint Me Perfect 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Stay Lost 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dream Role 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Prize Debate 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 High End Vixen 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sikara Sikara 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Heckled 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mystic Pleasure 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Army Kitten 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lead Me 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Twirling Cat 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 For Harper 6.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 She Told You So 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Agami 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Classical Magnolia 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Anita’s Vision 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Highly Wicked 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Ruby Begonia 15.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Dorgenois 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 T J’s First 8.00 7.7 14-1
12 12 Honeysuckledelight 20.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Dance Lil Darling 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 I Bear Arms 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 First Mission 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Gametime Gladiator 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Pursuit of Power 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Earl of Dassel 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Quaternion 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Big Commerce 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Neighbor 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Right Karma 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 St. John’s 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Wolf Hunter 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Humor Me Please 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Excess Magic 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Old Homestead 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Just Might 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Ready to Pounce 4.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 He’smyhoneybadger 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Angaston 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Yankee Seven 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dowagiac Chief 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Straight Answer (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gold Merritt 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Easy Runner 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Big Bella Brown 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Golden Palace 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Win Ya Win 4.00 3.1 6-1
13 13 Izzy’s Baby Boy 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 And Fifty 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Zion 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Lilrascalman 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Andiamo Giacomo 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Oak Hill Solution 20.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Cypriano 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Slither 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Too Much Crown 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.