Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hollywoodhellraisr 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sir Samuel 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Stormy Victory 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Good Soldier 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Warp Speed Baby 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Chef Menteur 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Beachmont Charlie 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Trupia 10.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Souper Royal Moon 15.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Tapit Brio 20.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Morethanicanhandle 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vigil Anna 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rock Along 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Noble Dreamer 1.60 3.4 6-1
5 5 Anotherworldinside 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Temerity 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 For Ever Ours 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Juno Sea 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Turbie 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Honeybunnybooboo 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arcangelo 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Citizen Mack 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jonas’ Dream 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Southern Dream 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Magical Power 2.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Neutral 4.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Mr McGregor 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Souper Legacy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 No Man Left Behind 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Glorious Tribute 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Thorn 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Eyes of Champion 8.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Free Shipping 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Sarawat 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Strong Again 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Calabrian Queen 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Golden Star 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Accomplished Girl 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Astrila 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Now Showing 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Guns n’ Lilies 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Decidedly So 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 My Malibu Honey 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Rugelach 15.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Royal Blood 20.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 A. P. Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Up for It 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 True Blue Pearl 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Strong Embrace 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Holy Berries 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Brody’s Causeway 20.00 3 6-1
9 9 Kukaro 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 What Knot 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Disco Queen 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Rough Enough 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Royal Jubilee 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nic’s Bro 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Discreet Tune 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Java Buzz 2.00 4 8-1
6 6 Exchange Day 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Richy 5.00 6 11-1
3 3 Adios Gary 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Feelthebeat 4.50 7.2 14-1
4 4 Big Daddy Dave 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Regimental Command 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Loyal Louie 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Hutcheson S.) – Hutcheson S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Super Chow 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Two of a Kind 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Live Is Life 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Youbetterbejoking 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Certain 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mooncapture 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Diamond Cool 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bee Well 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Clever Thought 2.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Greystone 30.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Missionaire 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Rockstar Red 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Just for Luck 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Spinzar 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Camilo 5.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Union Tap 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Vincenzino 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 King d’Oro 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Bel Ami 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Regimental 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Royal Kitten 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Moped Dennis 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Astroturf 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Dunnigan 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Chiquirin 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 The Twins Sneakers 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Sir Kahn 30.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Piypa de Lynda 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Power (BRZ) 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Lord Jaxston 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Silks Run S.) – Silks Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carotari 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Big Invasion 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Yes I Am Free 3.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Panther Island 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Full Disclosure 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Belgrano 6.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Rockcrest 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Novgorod the Great 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Sigiloso 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Omaha City 50.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Warrior’s Pride 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lucky Score 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Velocissima 0 0-1
2 2 Always Connected 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Outforarun 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Heading West 5.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Omo Ten Girl 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sponger 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Velocissima 10.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Stepstones 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Pomona’s Bullet 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Love Unlimited 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Heart of the Beast 15.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Beer Bali 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.