Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Phra Phrom 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Federal Offense 4.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Hellman 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Icy Minister 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Street Hustle 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 His Royal G 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Pressing Concern 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Watch Your Tone 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Shackleford County 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Lean On E 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Lady Macho 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Chalk Hill 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sheknowsthedrill 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Targe 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Betcha by Golly 0 0-1
4 4 I’m Gittin There 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 She Is Wisky 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Gamestonks 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Startwithabang 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Betcha by Golly 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Like a Pro 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Bella Bettina 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cees Get Degrees 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Going to the Lead 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 H P Moon 3.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Holy Synchronicity 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Keeping the Edge 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Doctor Jeff 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Borracho 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 It’s Sizzling Time 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Practical Way 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Conniver S.) – Conniver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Response Time 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Street Lute 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 My Flicker 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Award Wanted 2.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Combat Queen 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Mavilus 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Quiet Imagination 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Summer Odds 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Not For Love S.) – Not For Love S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eastern Bay 1.60 1 2-1
10 10 Breezy Gust 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Coastal Mission 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Karan’s Notion 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Brilliant Ice 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Kenny Had a Notion 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Arden’sluckytobe 30.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Alwaysinahurry 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Backnthewoods 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Al Loves Josie 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Harrison E. Johnson Memorial S.) – Harrison E. Johnson Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nimitz Class 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Ournationonparade 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 American Patrol 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 American d’Oro 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Hello Hot Rod 8.00 4 7-1
8 8 Rough Sea 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Double Crown 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Treasure Trove 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Beyond The Wire S.) – Beyond The Wire S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady Lowery 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Happy Clouds 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Cairo Sugar 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Cats Inthe Timber 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 We’ll See 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Voodoo Mama Juju 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Pharoahs Baby Gyal 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Private Terms S.) – Private Terms S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Register 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Howgreatisnate 4.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Coffeewithchris 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Circling the Drain 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Feeling Woozy 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Hayes Strike 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Riccio 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Marty’s Magic 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Backstreet Affair 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Queen of Class 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Raise Your Game 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Diamonds N Denim 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Preparefortakeoff 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Notion Interruptus 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Salamina 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.