Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Phra Phrom | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Federal Offense | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hellman | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Icy Minister | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Hustle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | His Royal G | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pressing Concern | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Watch Your Tone | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shackleford County | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lean On E | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Macho | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chalk Hill | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheknowsthedrill | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Targe | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betcha by Golly | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | I’m Gittin There | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Is Wisky | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gamestonks | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Startwithabang | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Betcha by Golly | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Like a Pro | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Bettina | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cees Get Degrees | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Going to the Lead | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | H P Moon | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holy Synchronicity | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keeping the Edge | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Jeff | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Borracho | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Sizzling Time | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Practical Way | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Conniver S.) – Conniver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Response Time | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Lute | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Flicker | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Award Wanted | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Combat Queen | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mavilus | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Imagination | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Odds | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Not For Love S.) – Not For Love S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eastern Bay | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Breezy Gust | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coastal Mission | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Karan’s Notion | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brilliant Ice | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenny Had a Notion | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arden’sluckytobe | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alwaysinahurry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Backnthewoods | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Al Loves Josie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Harrison E. Johnson Memorial S.) – Harrison E. Johnson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nimitz Class | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ournationonparade | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Patrol | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Hot Rod | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rough Sea | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Crown | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Treasure Trove | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Beyond The Wire S.) – Beyond The Wire S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Lowery | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Clouds | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cairo Sugar | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Inthe Timber | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | We’ll See | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Voodoo Mama Juju | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pharoahs Baby Gyal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Private Terms S.) – Private Terms S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Register | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Howgreatisnate | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coffeewithchris | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circling the Drain | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feeling Woozy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayes Strike | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riccio | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marty’s Magic | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Backstreet Affair | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Class | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raise Your Game | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamonds N Denim | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Preparefortakeoff | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notion Interruptus | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salamina | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.