Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Commerce Comet 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Stormin Army 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Into It 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Soybean Man 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Patton’s War 2.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Macho Villa 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 K J’s Pistol Annie 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Guest in My Heart 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Little Rocker 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Miss Rita 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sweetness To 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Jeri Dawn 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 She’s Hamazing 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Courageous Cappen 3.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Miss Dutton 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mulberry Street 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Primer Dimer 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Egomaniac 30.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Hanks 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Generator 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Zoffa 30.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Georgia Deputy 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Stud Puppy 30.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Go On 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Magic Castle 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Ocelot 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Sand Mountain 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Cost Basis 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Espionage 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Great Faces 8.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Principe Guilherme 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Carl G 5.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Morning Snow 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Time for Gold 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Distorted Secrets 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Legendary Gift 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Kewpie Doll 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Stylin N Profilin 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Burnadebt 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Mary Alice 20.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Lady Shaman 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Twentytwentyredo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Collected Glory 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jumpin Judy 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Pink Ace 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tapicita 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Danke Fuer Alles 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Plus Power 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Greek Heiress 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Mischievous Me 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 True Emotion 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thomas Shelby 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Kupuna 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Ain’t Life Grand 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Frosted Grace 2.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Mystic Night 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Spa City 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Background 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Whitmore S.) – Whitmore S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flash of Mischief 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Edge to Edge 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Cogburn 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tejano Twist 3.00 4 8-1
8 8 Pirate Rick 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Morello 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Miles Ahead 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Empire of Gold 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Baytown Bear 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Spankster 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Essex H.) – Essex H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forza Di Oro 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Last Samurai 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Call Me Fast 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Classic Causeway 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Tawny Port 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Silver Prospector 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Necker Island 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Vittorio 3.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Rated R Superstar 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Keystone Field 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gold Strategy 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Runninthestreets 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Wild Rosey 15.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Delta Moon 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Kokomo Starlet 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Haythere Jogeegirl 3.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Magnolia Mae 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Diamond Grand 4.50 4.8 9-1
12 12 Count It All Joy 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Ngala 6.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Music Mistress 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Melania T 30.00 7.8 15-1
14 14 Mo Wanna Go 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Street Painter 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.