Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Commerce Comet | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Army | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into It | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soybean Man | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patton’s War | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Villa | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guest in My Heart | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Rocker | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Rita | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetness To | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jeri Dawn | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Hamazing | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Cappen | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Dutton | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mulberry Street | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Primer Dimer | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Egomaniac | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hanks | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Generator | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zoffa | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Georgia Deputy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stud Puppy | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go On | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Magic Castle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocelot | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sand Mountain | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cost Basis | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Espionage | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Faces | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Principe Guilherme | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carl G | 5.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Snow | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Time for Gold | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Distorted Secrets | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legendary Gift | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kewpie Doll | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stylin N Profilin | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burnadebt | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Alice | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Shaman | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Twentytwentyredo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Collected Glory | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jumpin Judy | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pink Ace | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapicita | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Danke Fuer Alles | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plus Power | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greek Heiress | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Me | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | True Emotion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thomas Shelby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kupuna | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t Life Grand | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Grace | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Night | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spa City | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Background | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Whitmore S.) – Whitmore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flash of Mischief | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edge to Edge | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cogburn | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tejano Twist | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pirate Rick | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Morello | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miles Ahead | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire of Gold | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Bear | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spankster | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Essex H.) – Essex H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forza Di Oro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Last Samurai | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Fast | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Causeway | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tawny Port | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Prospector | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Necker Island | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vittorio | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rated R Superstar | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keystone Field | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gold Strategy | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runninthestreets | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Rosey | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Delta Moon | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kokomo Starlet | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haythere Jogeegirl | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magnolia Mae | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Grand | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Count It All Joy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ngala | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Music Mistress | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Melania T | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mo Wanna Go | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Street Painter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.