Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Heart of the Night 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Strikingly 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Jennifer’s d’Light 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Empire d’Oro 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Lulu Lemon Drop 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Not Now 2.50 6.5 12-1
2 2 Lunar Impact (GB) 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Hot Tea 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Hayley Levade 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Settecento 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Warrens Candy Man 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Papale 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Granada Flavor 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Li Mu Bai (IRE) 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Boss Sully 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Notforlackofeffort 15.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Stan From Malibu 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Finally an Eddie 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Both At Fault 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Barely Funtional 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 My Ransom 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Gold Express 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Toppers Wager 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Youteyourhonor 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Smoothlikebuttah 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Whistler’s Style 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mongolian Panther 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Trouville 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady Jae 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Aloha Kitten 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Harper’s Gallop 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Feathers (IRE) 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 La Vikina 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Invincibella (GB) 10.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Varoma 6.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Soaring Sky (IRE) 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tahoe Sunrise 0 0-1
4 4 Tahoe Sunrise 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dillinger 1.60 1.2 2-1
6 6 Neiman 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mystification 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Beverly Vista 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Blocked 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Quality Cat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (China Doll S.) – China Doll S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Wild Grazer (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Comanche Country (IRE) 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tea N Conversation 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Paris Secret (IRE) 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Princess Bettina 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Havana Angel (IRE) 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Fast and Shiny 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chicknfingerfriday 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Extra Innings 10.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Trusty Rusty 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Mongolian Rocket 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Do It for Dave 4.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Take Charge Curly 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Tapit Down 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Moon Time 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Vortex 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She’s Got a Way 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Topolina 4.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Big Beauty 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Awesome Taylor 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Paleo’s Princess 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Aventapp 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 An Agent Mistake 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Quicklikeabunny 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Real Fire 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Enclosure 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Pleasant 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Virasana 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Three Strands 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Ruby Nell 1.60 4.1 8-1
3 3 Magazine 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Mahina 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Who’s Candy 8.00 1 2-1
9 7 Oubabe 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Leyas Candy 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 4 Minister Shane 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 5 Moose Mitchell 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 3 Franklin One Star 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 9 Atomic Drop 3.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Shortman 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 6 Mamba Cool 4.00 8.4 16-1
2 98 Really Big News 0.00 SCRATCH
4 98 Circleofchampions 0.00 SCRATCH
14 98 Club Cal 0.00 SCRATCH
13 98 Orth 0.00 SCRATCH
12 10 Wegonahavagoodtime 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.