Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baby Sox | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giggling Ghost | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Coast | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Senorita | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bounty Killah | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indyan Penny | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Extessa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Drink the Wind | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charger | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winners Laugh | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Andrew | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turnsandconditions | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holey Matrimony | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Boy Cheekum | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grannys Connection | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Sophia | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Laoban | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thinking It Over | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diva Banker | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amity Island | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | April Antics | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean Breeze | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freudian | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bravo Regina | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Lady | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Traffic | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raining Candy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Sensation | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Orb | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Majority Partner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trash Talker | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joey Freshwater | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Cat | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prisoner | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ryan’s Cat | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Boss | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Valenzan Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Country | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rol Again Dancer | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Attitude | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Larz | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thunderian | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss You Ajax | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire King | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Untreated | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Market Alert | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Calling | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern District | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Kumbalay | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steinbeck | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Damon Runyon S.) – Damon Runyon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D’ont Lose Cruz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Andiamo a Firenze | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Up Bro | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | East Coast Girl | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Looms Boldly | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Ride | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | O’Trouble | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Musical Heart | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Honor | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Bourbon Bay | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Runabout | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2B | 11 | Midnightcharly | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 6 | My Friends Beer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Masked Marauder | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 12 | Caribbean (AUS) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Grumps Little Tots | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Perceived | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Storm | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.