Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Baby Sox 0.40 1 2-1
5 5 Giggling Ghost 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Jersey Coast 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Perfect Senorita 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bounty Killah 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Indyan Penny 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Extessa 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Drink the Wind 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Charger 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Winners Laugh 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Cousin Andrew 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Turnsandconditions 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Holey Matrimony 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 R Boy Cheekum 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grannys Connection 0.60 1 2-1
6 6 Happy Sophia 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Starship Laoban 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Thinking It Over 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Diva Banker 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Amity Island 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 April Antics 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Caribbean Breeze 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Freudian 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Bravo Regina 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Wicked Lady 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 In Traffic 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Raining Candy 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Sweet Sensation 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Crystal Orb 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Majority Partner 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Trash Talker 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Joey Freshwater 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Handsome Cat 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Prisoner 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Ryan’s Cat 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Surprise Boss 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valenzan Day 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Outlaw Country 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Rol Again Dancer 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Star Attitude 5.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Larz 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Thunderian 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Miss You Ajax 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Fire King 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Untreated 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Market Alert 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Bourbon Calling 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Southern District 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Curlin’s Wisdom 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 King Kumbalay 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Steinbeck 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Damon Runyon S.) – Damon Runyon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 D’ont Lose Cruz 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Andiamo a Firenze 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 What’s Up Bro 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 East Coast Girl 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Looms Boldly 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Bobby Ride 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 O’Trouble 2.00 1 2-1
1A 2 Musical Heart 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Irish Honor 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 9 Bourbon Bay 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 8 Runabout 8.00 3.4 6-1
2B 11 Midnightcharly 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 6 My Friends Beer 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Masked Marauder 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 12 Caribbean (AUS) 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 7 Grumps Little Tots 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 10 Perceived 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Dark Storm 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.