Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Kayleigh’s Pride 0 0-1
6 6 What’s Good 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Root Cause 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Shirl’s Delight 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Nonna’s Tiramisu 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Kayleigh’s Pride 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Tawaret 4.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Settling Storm 5.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Strategerized 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Black Ice 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dixie Groove 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Upstreet 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Gratia 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Subtle Senorita 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Mutola 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sprint Breaker 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Quickstyle 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cheers for Kitten 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Neophyte 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Harry’s Onthebeach 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Gone Nuts 3.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Flatter Me 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Count Down 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Ti Sento (IRE) 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Jest Above 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Stealththirtyfour 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Major Pryce 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Anotherdaygoneby 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Always Royal 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Irony 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Best Seller 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Lead Performer 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Great Analogy 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Final Episode 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Zosterop 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Portofino 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lawful 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Jamestown 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Monet Never (IRE) 6.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Side Eye 6.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Maclin 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Dolos 15.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Eternal Bliss 10.00 10.6 20-1
6 6 Decisive Pride 30.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 Arak 20.00 11 21-1
8 8 King of Mischief 20.00 11 21-1
3 3 Little Skippy 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Short Circuit 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Current Situation 6.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Machisima 4.50 3.4 6-1
10 10 Red Wind 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Khosea 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Silky Warrior (IRE) 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Emirates Affair 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Dancingwthdaffodls 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Thrilling Baby 8.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Awesome Apeal 15.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 La Rusia 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Indy Lyon 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Steak and Cheese 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Invective 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Grape Nuts Warrior 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Chapalu 5.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Uno Tiger 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Win d’Oro 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Magical Marriage 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Tetragrammaton 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Best Defense 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Courageous Copper 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 D Coldest 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Bourbon Therapy 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Gabe 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Nova Folha 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Midnight Getaway 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 No Deliberation 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Legend 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unsociable 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hope in Him 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Axthelm 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Fredo 20.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Step Forward 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 City Drifter 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Biz Biz Buzz 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 High Front 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Captain Jack 0 0-1
2 2 Instinctual 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 O’Conner Sunset 4.50 1.6 3-1
11 11 Mr. Rhodium 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Immense Faith 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Dream On Baby 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Night Ride 3.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Far From Home 30.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Powertrain 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Captain Jack 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 West Coast Ride 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Ben’s Hero 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.