Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Maria From Miami 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Mama’s Eyes 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Fivecommatwo 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Quit Quay 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Ellie Victorina 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Notion Street 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lil’ Late Luck 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dunder Boss 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 One Las Olas 1.60 3.4 6-1
8 8 Thencomemorning 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Anath 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Dropkick Queen 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Grass Cutter 4.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Galactic Tide 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Jimmydabook 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Notimelikepresent 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wired In 4.50 1.4 3-1
11 11 Secret Sanctuary 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Supe 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Espresso Lungo 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Wickosity 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Not as Lucky as Us 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Doc Rock 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Rixey Rocket 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Gig 15.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Mr. Cowboy Bradley 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cryo 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Classier 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Abuelo Paps 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Boss Man J J 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Down Cold 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Highland Dream 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Sponsored 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mystic Link 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Oxide 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Mr Thrifty 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Our Lucky Man 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Assembly Point (BRZ) 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ace Nine Nine 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Krug 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Motagally 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Mine Run 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dialer 6.00 1.1 2-1
9 10 Ragtime Riches 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 5 Starstreet 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Sheriff Ronnie 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Masterwork 4.50 4 8-1
5 4 Libraryofcongress 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Mission Man 20.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Porch Swing 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 11 Northern Rye 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 We Call Him Clyde 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Threes Over Deuces 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mr. Hustle 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Kadri 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Plot the Dots 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Exculpatory 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Whiskey and You 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Yodel E. A. Who 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Factor It In 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Alwaysinahurry 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Backnthewoods 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sir Alfred James 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Likeable 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Hopeful Treasure 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 War Tocsin 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Offaly Fast 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Chamita 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 The Haunted Room 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Red Wine Time 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mo Fire 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Sweet Talia 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Voice of Spring 8.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 If Then 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.