Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Propellant 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Eight Straight 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Born On Fire 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Perfect Thunder 2.50 6.1 11-1
5 5 Moon Over Dubai 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Sparkin 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Double Strike 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Mendelssohn Joy 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sahm Tequila 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Leslie’s Gold 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Tillis 1.40 2.5 5-1
2 2 Atras 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Shanghai’s Dream 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Bend in the River 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Baker’s Man 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Mr Frost 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 American Xperiment 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Raymond 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Brawndo 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Cosmo 2.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Hoya Paranoya 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 League of Legends 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Megatap 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tribal Spirit 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Old School Flash 10.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Tiz Sweet Candy 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Her Name Was Lola 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Beer Can Lady 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Momma Mule 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Star of Tomorrow 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sweet Nellie 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Atta Party 2.50 1 2-1
2 1 Mr. Cougar 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Super Geek 30.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Lord M 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Tale of Truth 6.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Traffic Control 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Krusin Rocket 12.00 5.2 10-1
1A 12 Braska 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 7 Warning Label 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Billhill 30.00 6.8 13-1
7 6 Morning Drive 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 5 Miri a Coincidence 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Offshore Affair 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Allege 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Lord Dragon 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Thundershook 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Doubly Blessed 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Two by Two 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Eisenstaedt 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Second of July 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Greatheart 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Saqeel 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Charter Oak 12.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Get Through 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Atkins 20.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Carnivore 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Uncle Berley 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Treaty 30.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Driven One 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Effortlesslyelgant 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Stellar Lily 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Take Charge Briana 3.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Midnight Heiress 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Watch This Munny 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Key to Success 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Beautiful and Bold 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Goodbye Kyle 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bluelightspecial 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Summorya 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tapit Right 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Blow Sum Smoke 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Hamazing Lace 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Choctaw Charlie 4.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Five Queens 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Chai Tea 4.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 Mocha Kiss 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Fly Like the Wind 12.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 War Music 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Kantex 8.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Early Dismissal 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.