Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Propellant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eight Straight | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Born On Fire | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Thunder | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Dubai | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkin | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Strike | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mendelssohn Joy | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sahm Tequila | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leslie’s Gold | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tillis | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atras | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai’s Dream | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bend in the River | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baker’s Man | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Frost | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Xperiment | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raymond | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brawndo | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmo | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoya Paranoya | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | League of Legends | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Megatap | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tribal Spirit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old School Flash | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Sweet Candy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Her Name Was Lola | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beer Can Lady | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Momma Mule | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star of Tomorrow | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Nellie | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Atta Party | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mr. Cougar | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Super Geek | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lord M | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tale of Truth | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Traffic Control | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Krusin Rocket | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Braska | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Warning Label | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Billhill | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Morning Drive | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miri a Coincidence | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Offshore Affair | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allege | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Dragon | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thundershook | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doubly Blessed | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two by Two | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eisenstaedt | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Second of July | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Greatheart | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saqeel | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charter Oak | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Get Through | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atkins | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carnivore | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Berley | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treaty | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Driven One | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Effortlesslyelgant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Lily | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Briana | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Heiress | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Watch This Munny | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Key to Success | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful and Bold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Goodbye Kyle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bluelightspecial | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Summorya | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit Right | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blow Sum Smoke | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hamazing Lace | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Choctaw Charlie | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Five Queens | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chai Tea | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mocha Kiss | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly Like the Wind | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Music | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kantex | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Early Dismissal | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.