Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lansdowne (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Papa Tiger 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Thunderheart 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Wegonahavagoodtime 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Petruchio 4.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Law Abiding 4.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Thanks Maggio (ARG) 12.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Beaudacious 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Double Fantasy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Big Bell 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Roses R Blue 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Never Sway 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Shanghai Sunrise 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Soul Sweet 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Sensational Star S.) – Sensational Star S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Chosen Vron 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Kings River Knight 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jack Sixpack 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Fast Buck 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Indian Peak 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Busker Allie 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Parco 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Back On the Street 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Moonlite in Heaven 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Lucy L 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Marks Hip 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Valiancer 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rexford 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Jam Session 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 The Bullion Bomber (IRE) 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Mas Rapido (GB) 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Kingdom Heart 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Quagmire Magic 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Armagnac 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Midnight Mammoth 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 McLaren Vale 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 American Admiral 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Taishan 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stay in the Game 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Proof She Zips 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Tom and Jazzy 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Upward Mobility 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Thirsty Pappy 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Tangledupingrey 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Please Focus 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Mila’s Papa 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Filthy Fast 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Sweet Hello 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Dads Estrella 6.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Lucky Vegas 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Magic Capital 20.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Miss Joannie 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Half Nelson 12.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Tenacious Lady 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Henny On Ice 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Casino Annie 5.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Mongolian Power 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Donna’s Mischief 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stay in Line 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bajan Bashert 2.50 2.4 5-1
13 13 Isabel Ludlow 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 General Welfare 4.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Classy Candy 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Idessia 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Song of Shadows 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Boss Lady 6.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Annie’s Hope 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Whiskey Outlaw 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Betsy Is the Code 30.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Our Magic Girl 30.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Cee Minus 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ashleys Sandcastle 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Creative Peak 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Holiday Arousal 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mob Boss 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Scary Fast Smile 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 My Man Bags 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Rookie Mistake 4.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Handsome Gary 5.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 El Diablo Rojo 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flint Stroll 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Explain This Audit 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 One Fast Bro 12.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Oncoming 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Barsabas 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Kimmer 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Circleofchampions 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Tembo 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Club Aspen 5.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.