Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Becca’s Bouquet 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Melody Rose 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Queen’s Mission 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 New Year’s Party 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Izeonpoint 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Bind On Earth 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Action Potential 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ourquickdrawmcgraw 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Chiefweave 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Royal Unlimited 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 War Trolley 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Reverent 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Ole Stud Muffin 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Magnolia Ridge 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Cottonclub Soldier 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lone Star Max 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sumitup 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 What Can I Say 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Sunshine Star 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Wendy Wilecat 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Sugar Star 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 The Missing Piece 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Pat Hand Girl 8.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Mydealoftheday 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mint Julius 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gotteminabind 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Boston Millie 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Hot Patootie 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Reina Aces 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Charming Kat 10.00 5 10-1
3 3 Zippity Zooda Red 30.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Sangiovese 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Whorl Girl 8.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Keep On Dreaming 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forty Nine Model 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 A. K. A. Grams 4.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 Theboyzgalaxy 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Peaceful Vision 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Rose Crown 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Kasen’s Sister 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Commercial Flash 4.50 6.6 13-1
3 3 Prayers Saved 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Point of Victory 8.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 American Rebel 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kiss Me On Oconee 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 She’s Jersey Tuff 3.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Midsummer Soiree 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mystic Storm 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tattered Heart 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 The Rage of Art 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 De’ Ans Eighty 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lordy Lordy 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Clear as a Bele 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Calicoco 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Sono 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Hoosier 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Comanche Warrior 2.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Lifeasweknowit 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 All of Us 12.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Astrologysprotege 20.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Rap Artist 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mo Moves 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Oddsontony 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Bluegrass Lute 20.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Knock’em Out Jerry 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Free Rambling Man 3.50 7.3 14-1
10 10 Ole Crazy Bone 5.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Big Popper 12.00 9 17-1
1 1 Woodythebidspotter 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Attache 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Julia’s Warrior 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Green Beans 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 War Rascal 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Total Malice 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Carson’s Princess 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Love of My Life 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Beauxs Artes 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Cave Creek 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Palacein 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ma Cherie 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Dance It 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Carnelian 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Prissy Jaden 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Calling 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Talents Hot Deal 5.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Pennie’s Magic 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Zipping Molly 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Sadie’s Port 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sweet Little Rose 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Customized Twin 6.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Silk Not Satin 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Strummin Mary 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pinching Pennies 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.