Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cumberland Falls | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Kiss | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Way too Early | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Armonia | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ransom Style | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ancient Relic | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exclusive Joni | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mi Corazon | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rachels Song | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Aurora | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yankee Storm | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | No Wasabi for Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lendhercredit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Leipzig | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Both Sides | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mo Tough | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Networking | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frostedbird | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luscious Dancer | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paradise Drive | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart Boy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Am the Game | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Flash | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Screen Door | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Enzo’s World | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Concrete Glory | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caramel Chip | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proverb | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doo Wop Don | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aequor | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Di Baggio | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fulton Street | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Opeongo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tempora | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Silent | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Babe | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ulikeapples | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sammy’s Town | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flip My Id | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Andie One | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snow Loves a Fight | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Linn Pier | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapple Cider | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Nell | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reconnecting | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amunet | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love My Job | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blustery | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wheatsheaf | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Katz | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Be Broken | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Corporate Affair | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bluey | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blast the Music | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shea On the Lam | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toyi | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fort Attitude | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tico G | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Lieutenant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kikilove | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atthecrossroads | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forces Sweetheart | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Le Boiana | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Looking for Hope | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carlotuk | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jellicle Katz | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Dia | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lay the Groundwork | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sanura | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jazzy T | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riveting Spirit | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pentagon | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Peridot | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maria’s Revenge | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Red’s Revenge | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imposter Syndrome | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Oogway | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lost City | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rule It | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabled Prince | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tio Tony | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Victory Line | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jay’s Delight | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Ill Will | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Somnus | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Given to Fly (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.