Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vobiscum 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Blow Torch 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Midnight Majesty 1.60 2.4 5-1
1 1 Pistol Or Shotgun 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ee Yah 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Commander Carl 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Lucky Dude 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Suitable 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pizza Charlie 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Mr Works 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Strickland 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Mr. Wully Bully 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Out of Alcatraz 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sunsign 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Point Blank 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Riante Sky 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Howl Yeah 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lt. Junior Grade 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Colonel Bowman 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Slam Dunk Sermon 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Pioneering Papa 1.80 3.6 7-1
5 5 Freudian Fate 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Alex’s Strike 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Drifter 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kentucky Bourbon 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Order of Merit 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Uptown Social 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Thinkingndrinking 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Mattfoleyvanman 15.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Work All Day 30.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 King Doodle 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Ike Wazowski 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Santino’s Fantasy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mahomey 1.40 1 2-1
10 11 Heritage Park 3.00 1.3 2-1
1A 10 J. E.’s Handmedown 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Ojitos 20.00 3.1 6-1
1 6 Holding Pattern 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Hamazing Wisdom 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Reef’s Destiny 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Obviously Too 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Orbital Starr 30.00 8.5 16-1
2 1 Trophy Daddy 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rock City Rocket 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Easy Action 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Backside Buzz 2.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Arman 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Coffee Caliente 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 G T Five Hundred 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 American Outlaw 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Miracle Warrior 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Bling Bling Bling 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Stand Proud 0 0-1
2 2 Stand Proud 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mount Craig 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Atlantic Dancer 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Bolzy 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Life On the Nile 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Onthestage 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Humor Me Now 3.00 7 13-1
9 9 Black Powder 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Goin to the Show 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Further Evidence 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tivy 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Wild Mule 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Too Much Info 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Jeremy’s Jet 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Lil Sweet Thang 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Major Blue 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Scatamaran 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Warren L 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Data Storm 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Lochmoor 2.00 1.8 3-1
13 13 Macho Rocco 15.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Bettys Cash 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Aspen Club 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Westheimer Street 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Afleet Sky 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Stomping Hotrod 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Topf Road Rules 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Miri a Coincidence 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Peace Dog 4.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Classy Socks 12.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Goodnight Archie 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.