Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gagetown 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Thinkaboutit 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 American Gentleman 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Secret Rules 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Twenty Four Mamba 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Money Mike 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pioneering Spirit 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Long Term 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 Mad Magic 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Nieuwendyk 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Stjames 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Omerta Code 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Cloud Music 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Golden Purchase 30.00 8 15-1
Pioneering Spirit 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 From Hello 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Midnight Rosie 4.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Frannie Lew 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Mrs Bell 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Super Slide 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Bustinroxy 6.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Dream Road 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Berning Honor 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Maize Loved Laffy 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Georgie’s Ladies 20.00 11 21-1
8 8 My Gorgeous 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Asymmetric 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Agility 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Braciole 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Forty Two Ace 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Thrill of It 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Juggler 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Amedeus Music 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Chief Engineer 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 Clash A. J. 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Blue Paynt 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Ruvies in Time 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Indian Bella 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 How Lucky 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Its Cold in Dehere 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Vegas Weekend 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Keen Dancer 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Carly Hustle 15.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Shea On a Mission 15.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Trade Secret 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Left Leaning Lucy 20.00 12 23-1
2 2 Chloe Rose 20.00 12 23-1
Keen Dancer 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Gut Feeling 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Storied Fella 4.50 1.3 2-1
1A 3 Callaloo 4.50 1.3 2-1
10 11 Fromanothamutha 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Colloquy 5.00 1.6 3-1
9 10 Mandatory 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 7 Labarde 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 4 Skylander 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 5 Smoke and Heat 12.00 6 11-1
5 6 Pine Valley 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 8 Bert Bert Bert 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (East View S.) – East View S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maple Leaf Mel 0.80 1 2-1
7 7 Les Bon Temps 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Banterra 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Little Linzee 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Security Code 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Queens Masterpiece 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Lady Mine 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bad Connection 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Forever Amy 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Flutie Flakes 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Mischief Motion 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Wine Goddess 8.00 2 4-1
11 11 Caiarossa 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Franca 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Stormy’s in Style 10.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Magnolia Wind 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 War Museum 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Virtual Beauty 50.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.