Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gagetown | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thinkaboutit | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Gentleman | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Rules | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Four Mamba | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Mike | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pioneering Spirit | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Term | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Magic | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nieuwendyk | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stjames | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omerta Code | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloud Music | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Purchase | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| Pioneering Spirit | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | From Hello | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Rosie | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frannie Lew | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs Bell | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Slide | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bustinroxy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dream Road | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Berning Honor | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maize Loved Laffy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgie’s Ladies | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Gorgeous | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Asymmetric | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agility | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Braciole | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forty Two Ace | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thrill of It | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Juggler | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amedeus Music | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Engineer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clash A. J. | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blue Paynt | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ruvies in Time | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Bella | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | How Lucky | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its Cold in Dehere | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Weekend | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keen Dancer | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carly Hustle | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shea On a Mission | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trade Secret | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Left Leaning Lucy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chloe Rose | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| Keen Dancer | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Gut Feeling | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storied Fella | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Callaloo | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Fromanothamutha | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colloquy | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Mandatory | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Labarde | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Skylander | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Smoke and Heat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Pine Valley | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Bert Bert Bert | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (East View S.) – East View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maple Leaf Mel | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Les Bon Temps | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banterra | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Linzee | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Security Code | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queens Masterpiece | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bad Connection | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Amy | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flutie Flakes | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Motion | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wine Goddess | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Caiarossa | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Franca | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy’s in Style | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnolia Wind | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Museum | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Virtual Beauty | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.