Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beverly Park 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 High Cruise 1.60 2.4 4-1
4 4 Optimal Courage 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Herd Immunity 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Populist 6.00 5 10-1
2 2 Dried Pepper 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Crimson Storm 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Deuteronomystrong 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lily’s Creed 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Salsalita Verde 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Frosty Diva 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Prize Debate 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Catherine Blaze 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Capella Red 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Ziggzappa 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Colonel Grace 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dude Drop Kid 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Infinitesimal 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Cigar Van 10.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Custom Blue Grass 8.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Seehoss 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Gtuone Buck 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Couyons Cause 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Putthehammerdown 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Unbridled Pulpit 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 C. F. Congress 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Older and Wiser 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Julia’s Warrior 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rate Confirmation 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Alilnalot 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Power Alley 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Stayinyourlane 5.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Savage Kiss 8.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Papa D L 12.00 8 15-1
7 7 Attache 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miltontown 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 The Feature 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Just Blaze 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Born Again George 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Knockalittlelouder 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 All the Diamonds 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Maintainance Matt 8.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Blushinstreetdevil 8.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Rockdale 4.50 8.5 16-1
11 11 B B Moody 30.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Gallant Star 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Margoinabubblebath 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Malibu Toast 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 She’s My Louie V. 10.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Black Ace 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Gold Plus 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Spoiled Brat 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Cincy’s Anna 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Cinco de Cuatro 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Blue Line 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cash Logistics 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Pipes and Drums 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mailman Money 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Super Design 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Fenwick Station 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Strawberry Sundae 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mo Smoking 8.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Blessed Assurance 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Yockey Betterfly 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Mia Antonia 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tensas Bertie 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Smart Izzy 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Glamorous Star 8.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Hot Golden Girl 4.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Everylittlesingh 20.00 9 17-1
5 5 Artie’s Deal 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Titled Lady 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Savage Darling 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Electric Sense 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 My Aunt Snookie 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gracie Diamond 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Roja Ligera 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 U Glow Girl 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Hot Le Roy 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 War Count 12.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Imindycatbirdseat 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Guitar Tribute 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Arctic Rose 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Steal It Back 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Luckenbacher 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Payday Too 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Run Rocket 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sir Overanalyze 15.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 My Book 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bassett 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sy Michael 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.