Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Gemar | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Whiskey | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon On Fire | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guided Arrow | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contrabandista | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap That Dial | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windtapper Win | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Luck of the Draw | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Space Odessey | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | California Swing | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catholic Guilt | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Major Kong | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Runnings | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twitty City | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Princess | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Morena | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Show Me Grace | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Empress | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Shadows | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dorita’s Heart | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reliant | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mumblebee | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dancin Rocket | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Down | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Santino’s Fantasy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Loud Boy | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sacrament | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Other Times | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Finbarfurey | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Al’s Romeo | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prather | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forever Home | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Day Lassie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Twilight | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Crescendo | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap Me a Text | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Scarlet | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warm Beauty | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Put a Bow On It | 2.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twentytwentyredo | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tropinka | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stage Left | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Tower | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Frazier | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Timber | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cold as Hell | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deflater | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beer Chaser | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alexandros | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pistol | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Fix | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keepmeinthe Moment | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asena | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Off Ramp | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast and Feminine | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chillaxification | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Argumental | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildwood Bye | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kavod | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chattalot | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Atoka | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manuelito | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Radio | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mowins | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fore Left | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jackman | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Empyreal Shadow | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Peel | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Prince | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jim Ned | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready Shoes | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Third Watch | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Strategy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seeking Chrome | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cybertown | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madmartigan | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Willie Win | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natorade | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.