Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Melting Snow | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alarm Clock | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Stones | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meraviglioso | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Reply | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triple P | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Printrack | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Bourbon Bay | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Icy Storm | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Shot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy’s Pride | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Liam’s Fire | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silipo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Standup | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sailor Speed | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ghostlyprince | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B C Glory Days | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patrick the Great | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romanoatsee | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life and Light | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Basic Truth | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ninth of April | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papi On Ice | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kant Hurry Love | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trust the Numbers | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respectfully | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Milagro | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baba | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awillaway | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Cara | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freddymo Factor | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tonal Impact | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Skate | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Locally Owned | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Healing | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Will E Sutton | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uno | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Datesfreedom | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Centavo | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Asmodeus | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moore’s Law | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ride Up | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Huntington | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Money | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billy’s Got Issues | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Weekend Tizzy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wednesdaynight Lad | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Catch | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Easy Day | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scilly Cay | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lohengrin Two | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salto de Tigre | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior in Chief | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Gamble | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zertz | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Five O | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Boy Bode | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Blues | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | O’Trouble | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glory Road | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Tryst | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Luni Sima | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jemography | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bezos | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Durkin’s Call | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Russian to Win | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quickflash | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spectatorless | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tough Street | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Movie Moxy | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Know It All Audrey | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Mosienko | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 12 | My Sweet Wife | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Dame Cinco | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 10 | Dancing Sophia | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 6 | My First Love | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Chaysenbryn | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mariah’s Fortune | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Kingdom Queen | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Amity Island | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | No Burn | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Black Belt | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hammerin Aamer | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Knows | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winter Pool | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Optic Way | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dust Devil | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alcools | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Gatling | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Travers | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.