Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Melting Snow 0.50 1 2-1
4 4 Alarm Clock 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Quality Stones 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Meraviglioso 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Icy Reply 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Triple P 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Printrack 0.80 1 2-1
1 2 Bourbon Bay 4.50 2.5 5-1
1A 8 Icy Storm 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Double Shot 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Poppy’s Pride 8.00 4 8-1
8 9 Liam’s Fire 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Silipo 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Standup 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Sailor Speed 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ghostlyprince 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 B C Glory Days 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Patrick the Great 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Romanoatsee 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Life and Light 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Basic Truth 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Ninth of April 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Papi On Ice 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kant Hurry Love 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Trust the Numbers 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Respectfully 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Lady Milagro 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Baba 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Awillaway 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Chasing Cara 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Freddymo Factor 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tonal Impact 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Good Skate 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Locally Owned 3.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Healing 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Will E Sutton 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Uno 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Datesfreedom 30.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Centavo 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Asmodeus 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Moore’s Law 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Ride Up 4.00 2 4-1
9 9 Huntington 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 First Money 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Billy’s Got Issues 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Weekend Tizzy 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Wednesdaynight Lad 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Legal Catch 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Easy Day 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Scilly Cay 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Lohengrin Two 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Salto de Tigre 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Warrior in Chief 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Romantic Gamble 12.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Zertz 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Charlie Five O 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 R Boy Bode 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ragtime Blues 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 O’Trouble 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Glory Road 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Royal Tryst 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Luni Sima 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Jemography 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bezos 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Durkin’s Call 12.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Russian to Win 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Quickflash 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Spectatorless 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tough Street 2.50 1 2-1
6 5 Movie Moxy 3.50 1.2 2-1
9 8 Know It All Audrey 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Mosienko 6.00 1.8 3-1
1A 12 My Sweet Wife 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Dame Cinco 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 10 Dancing Sophia 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 My First Love 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Chaysenbryn 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Mariah’s Fortune 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Kingdom Queen 30.00 7.4 14-1
10 9 Amity Island 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 No Burn 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Black Belt 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Hammerin Aamer 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Daddy Knows 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Winter Pool 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Optic Way 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Dust Devil 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Lost in Rome 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Alcools 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Lord Gatling 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Mount Travers 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.