Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncaptured Storm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B West | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chelonian | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alvy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indybound | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thunderian | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boruff | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stardust Ziggy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daredavite | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Uhtred | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dart | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Smoak | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rascally Rebel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cavalry Command | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shackinthebox | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | General Nooz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Best Choice Baby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Long Rap Sheet | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Running River | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | By Its Absence | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Band Camp | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mungo Magic | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Pure Talent | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tenax | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jebster | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thruster | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carmichaelspioneer | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pressing Concern | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Notion to Tapit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bernie’s On Fire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manolete | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forth | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mojac Kat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pepe and Heywood | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy the Kid | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baptize the Boy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tom Terrific | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Hoisted Mast | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Air Token | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aristocratic | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bigmancan | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charge to Victory | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redeem Eddie | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Savoy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Sicarii | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Neverfold | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Garner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ladneedsahandler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Fussy Pants | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liquidator | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Good Trouble | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tinseltown Tina | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil Pays in Gold | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Six the Hard Way | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sideswiped | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heldish | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lost Weekend | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seven’s Eleven | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R B’s the Boss | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johnnyfrenchfri | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pride of Payton | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Left Hand Thread | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Byk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Excellorator | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Armando R | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Trove | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torch of Truth | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wish for Peace | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby G | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Wine Time | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holding Court | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camelia Rod | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torre Branca | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Temper | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Martharita | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rationalmillennial | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.