Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Classically 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nashoba’s Joy 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Balthazar 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Quality Wins 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Eastbound 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Duran 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strut On Louie 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Midnight Lightning 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Top of My Game 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Let Him Do 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Littlebrotherjoey 3.00 3.8 7-1
Strut On Louie 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crimson Rose 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jibber Jabber (IRE) 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bali Dancer 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Quaria Thunder 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Dendera 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Control Function 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sommer Daisy (FR) 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Royal Halo 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Blue Cheese Olive 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Carol’s Comic 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Whiskey Vision 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bailey’s Budget 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Fordy G 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Silence 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Con Seal and Kerry 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Thunder Run 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Princess Midnight 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Miss Polo Bar 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Billy Gallivan 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Wirly Girly 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tizzy Twister 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sailing Along 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Sangre Azul 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 California Gigi 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Semi Sweet 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Shvere Arbeter 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Johnny Paycheck 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Country Boy 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 J D’s Rude Boy 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Old Pal 1.60 3.7 7-1
8 8 Chrome to Riches 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 My Ransom 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Be Punctual 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Silent Heat 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Desert Stormer S.) – Desert Stormer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dance to the Music 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Half Past Twelve 8.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Violent Runner 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Elm Drive 1.20 3.6 7-1
5 5 Stella Noir 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Weegee 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lamplighter Jack 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Moody Jim (IRE) 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Lovesick Blues 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Big Buzz 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Overdue 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Kennebec 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Dominant Soul 12.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Shotgun Express (IRE) 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.