Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 26, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bankroll 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cpriority 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 J B Gray 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 One Tough Charlie 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 The Three Ks 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Northernreflection 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Chrompton 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bet On Bourbon 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 The Grey Beauty 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Ruby Begonia 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Ryan’s Grace 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Allstar Magic 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Happy Sails 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Brightnmorningstar 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Meg and Clair 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Stormin Sunday 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Razz 3.50 1.2 2-1
10 10 Autumn’s So Flashy 8.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Apriority Rocket 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Chad’s Flash 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Ronalds Gatsby 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Friend’s Do Care 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Tucker the Grump 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Star Ready 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Lord Help Me 20.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Special Agent Jim 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bosshog Them Dukes 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Aniclude 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Math Man 4.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Courageous Timmy 15.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Bassett 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Genius 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Max Pandowdy 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Da Gold Room 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Xietelehuas 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Valiant Defender 6.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Sneaky Allie Kat 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Its Wild Again 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ranch Water 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mo Credo 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Amavi 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 The Boss Soss 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Western Star 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Regal Kingdom 4.50 5.2 10-1
9 9 Stiff Drink 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Go Brother Go 6.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Frenchy Departed 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gutzy 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mr. Cromwell 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lil Woadie 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Big Boo 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Jamaican Me 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Salute Now 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Veterans Day 2.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Scooteria 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Blackteca 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Trader Price 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Iron N Steel 5.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Our Heatseeker 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Party Little Boy 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Cajun Connection 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Catchin Drama 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Run On Aces 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Sea of Light 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Golden Confusion 20.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Creole Reb 20.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Boston Blitz 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Salvaje 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Perfect Happiness 3.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Rose Palace 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Lady Jeopardy 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Misty Day 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Rumpus 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 High Speed 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Margie’s Kitchen 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Texas Bluebonnet 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Broke Financing 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mercy Warren 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tiwanaku 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Blue Jays 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Crump 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Cousin Larry 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Jeeper 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Guntown 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Setna the Wise 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Grael 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wise Verdict 0 0-1
10 10 Ballinonabudjet 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Budro Talking 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Oak Hill Lg 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Wise Verdict 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Unanimously 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pinch Assault 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Bayou Jam 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Home Visit 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Mageez 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 City Park 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Deccan Prince (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 More Than Five 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Two Rivers Over 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Bon Bueno 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Charging 3.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Bourbon Day 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Ocean City 6.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Fujin 10.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Tufnel 4.00 11 21-1
6 6 Hero’s Medal 10.00 11.5 22-1
12 12 Caroom 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Forcible Entry 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Silver Bull 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Simply Wow 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Three Rough Shods 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sir Liam 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Miss Jana 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ourperfectprincess 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 G’s Squeeze 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Royal O’Haigain 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Scarlett O’Hara 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Galaxy Thirtysix 6.00 5 10-1
3 3 Lady Hopper 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Blessed Anna 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Mi Lia 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Miss Priority 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Star Guitar S. Presented By Brittlyn Stable) – Star Guitar S. Presented By Brittlyn Stable

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Touchuponastar 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Behemah Star 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Highland Creek 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Blue Cheese 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Cosmic Train 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Smarty Alex 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Budro Talking 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 14 (Page Cortez S.) – Page Cortez S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charlie T 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Final Quest 10.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Drop Dead Sexy 20.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Beleout 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Maestria 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 First I’ve Seen 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Snowball 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 World War 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Wholelottamo 8.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Harriet’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hei Hei Custivity 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Nodah 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 15 (Shantel Lanerie Memorial S.) – Shantel Lanerie Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Free Like a Girl 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Winning Romance 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Nosilverspoonshere 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 A G’s Charlotte 4.00 4 7-1
8 8 Fort Polk 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Medley 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Mishpachah 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Mo Bling 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.