Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, March 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spirit Maker 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Stotland 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Don’tcrossthedevil 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Bee Catcher 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Westward Look 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bender 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rufa Red Knot 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rosy Edge 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Danehill Song 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Chevy Girl 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Sapadilla 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Kiss My Kat 3.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Lady Derby 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bluegrass Go Go 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Abeliefinthislivin 1.20 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mega Moon 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Chao Phraya 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 The Giants Candy 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 New York Dreams (GB) 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wyfire 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Really Big News 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Warrens World 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Wound Up 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Zookeeper 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Book Smart 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glorious Spring 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Starship Defiant 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 La Deuxieme Etoile 2.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Delta Wind 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 She’s a Bit Sassy 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Roman Empress 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 American Refugee 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Arrest 1.80 1.3 2-1
1 1 Crypto Munny 15.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Brother Reid 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Frost Alert 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Never Seen Before (IRE) 8.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Birth of Cool 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Rosenquist 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Classymademoiselle 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Getthemoney 1.80 1.7 3-1
4 4 Lily Poo 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Liberal Lady 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Coffee in Bed 1.20 2.6 5-1
5 5 Anywho 8.00 3.6 7-1
Coffee in Bed 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Buy American 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tiergarten 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 One Arrow 15.00 3 6-1
9 9 Precocious Times 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 California Bling 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Vulin 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Cheekiest 3.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Turquoise Bikini 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Amage 50.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Disruptive Artist 20.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Tiz My Princess 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.