Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uragano 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Dudley Dickerson 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Midnight Express 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Myles 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Wonker Warrior 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Connect the Brocks 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Curlins Choir 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lady Shylock 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lockbox 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dreamawayseven 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Honest Banker 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Dream Chaser 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reed Kan 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Montauk Daddy 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Prince James 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Super Garner 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Magnificent Chrome 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Marvin 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Mister Winston 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Breadman 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ria’s Angel 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Regality 4.00 1.9 4-1
1A 7 Holey Matrimony 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Strong Light 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 8 Seanan 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jay’stalker 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 9 Hang Tight 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Exxtop 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Patty Cakes 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Sister Linda 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Anatolian 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Simple Sugar 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Rhubarb Martini 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Raffinity 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Racing Colors 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gulfstream Way 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Two Thirty Five 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Famished 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Empty Tomb 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Glory Road 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Pit Boss 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Microsecond 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 King Angelo 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sheriff Bianco 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Happy Farm 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Big Engine 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 High Oak 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Scocciatore 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 In Dreams 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 A C Expressway 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stellwagen Banker 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Reunion Tour 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Gentleman Burglar 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Iron Horizon 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Go Get the Bag 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Campbelito 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tiza Brown 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Mr. Busta 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.