Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Girly the Butcher 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Cappy 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Morgan’s Bluff 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Kiss Upon a Star 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Grey Princess 8.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Total Bliss 30.00 8 15-1
4 4 Blueberry Queen 30.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Blue Twirlin 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Ria Formosa 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kindness Is Free 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Merry Gold 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lucago 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Executive Search 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 Frosted Faith 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Inhalation (GB) 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Celebratory 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Doctor Ron 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dontkissdaminister 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Blue Soldier 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Doc Ballard 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Glenholme 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Pidin 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Takemetothemoon 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Royal Fox Hills 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Barrell Craft 15.00 4 7-1
7 7 Pop Socks 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Daddy Dave 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Floki’s Flight 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Reddington 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Universal Payday 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Song Runner 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Agarramesipuedes 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Braccio Di Ferro 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dark Vector 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Broken Spur 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Guaranteed Speck 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Luna Warrior 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Acamar 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 El Oro (FR) 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Delta Delta 4.50 7.5 14-1
2 2 Mo Vanishing 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Old Town Road 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Man On the Moon 1.40 2.6 5-1
7 7 Thenorthremembers 15.00 4 7-1
5 5 Pound Green 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Another Duke 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Aequor 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Valid Exchange 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Earth 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Onenightstandards 0 0-1
6 6 Stat 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Trending 20.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Surrogate 30.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Onenightstandards 4.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Meyer 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Modern Science (IRE) 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Honesto 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Patou Road 3.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 Dominate Themoment 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Shadizaar 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hitting Bombs 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Vyvyanne 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Clay Soldier 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Find Your Passion 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Oh Darlin 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Free to Roam 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Kitty Quick 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Girl Bye 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Our Flag Flying 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Stuck in Malibu 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 Queen Rocket 15.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Inscrutable 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Moontap 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Charleston Way 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Beach Ready 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 My First Date 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Light and Path 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tap and Chu 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Love Mami Love 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.