Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | News Box | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trappe Valley | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wesleyan | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rye Humor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bend in the River | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J’s Little Man | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Frost | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Strategy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reaux Bina | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She Be Sheehan | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Woods Miracle | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foxpass | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pat’s Gal | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Driving | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bradley Pink | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Street Painter | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lunch Lady | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Thorn Crown | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Honeycamp | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Holiness | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Shesthebiggame | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Mrs. Macomber | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamonds R Forever | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Fancy Hill | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elegance N Tonic | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Envoy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eli’s Girl | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dial Dish | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flag to Flag | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ain’tnosweetie | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Dynasty | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Truffles | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old School Flash | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Guess Not | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Altar Girl | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Haythere Jogeegirl | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Cowgirl | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | May Disco | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elmo’s Secret | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Bizness | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | I Feel the Need | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waterworks | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Russiarussiarussia | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Girl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Santangelo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Commander | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pout | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Tomate | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tyler’s Tribe | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Again | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Minor | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giroovin | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Western Ghent | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mayfield Strong | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Vying Edge | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Allo Enry | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Goodnight Archie | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Campisi | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Mr. Cougar | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Super Geek | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Warning Label | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Control | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Risky Situation | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Botany | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.