Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 News Box 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Trappe Valley 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Wesleyan 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Rye Humor 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bend in the River 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 J’s Little Man 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Mr Frost 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiz a Strategy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Reaux Bina 2.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 She Be Sheehan 4.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Dr. Woods Miracle 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Foxpass 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Pat’s Gal 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Driving 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Bradley Pink 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Street Painter 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lunch Lady 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 2 Thorn Crown 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Honeycamp 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Sweet Holiness 6.00 4 8-1
2 1 Shesthebiggame 10.00 6.5 12-1
1A 9 Mrs. Macomber 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Diamonds R Forever 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 4 Fancy Hill 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Abby the Bull Dawg 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Elegance N Tonic 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Lady Envoy 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Eli’s Girl 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Dial Dish 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Flag to Flag 30.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Ain’tnosweetie 5.00 7 13-1
3 3 Sweet Dynasty 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sweet Truffles 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Old School Flash 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 I Guess Not 3.50 6.6 12-1
2 2 Altar Girl 4.50 6.6 12-1
9 9 Haythere Jogeegirl 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Blue Cowgirl 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 May Disco 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Elmo’s Secret 15.00 9 17-1
3 3 Wild Bizness 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 I Feel the Need 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Waterworks 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Russiarussiarussia 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ghostly Girl 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Santangelo 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Lady Commander 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Pout 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 El Tomate 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tyler’s Tribe 1.60 1.1 2-1
1 1 Echo Again 1.80 3.4 6-1
3 3 B Minor 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Giroovin 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Western Ghent 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Mayfield Strong 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Vying Edge 8.00 1 2-1
3 2 Allo Enry 1.40 2 4-1
7 8 Goodnight Archie 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 10 Campisi 10.00 5 9-1
6 7 Mr. Cougar 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Super Geek 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 4 Warning Label 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Traffic Control 4.00 6.9 13-1
1A 6 Risky Situation 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 Botany 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.