Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 31, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Toast to Coast 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Occasional Moon 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Gaming Soul 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Cloud Music 1.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sergeant Sherman 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Maryland Moon 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Alligator Arms 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Ask Him Oakey 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Top Boss 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 The Cairo Kid 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Nashvegas 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Great Go Go 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Dr. Rusty Raymond 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Hagler 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Loaded Sniper 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vax a Nation 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Millbank Man 12.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Dover Bluff 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Masterwork 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 North Highland 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Home School 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Run for Your Life 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Union Fleet 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Brilliant Ice 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Tate 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Luigi’s Spirit 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Abuelo Paps 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mailman’s a Flyer 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Burgee 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Oro de Moro Moro 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 She’ll Make Waves 3.00 1 2-1
1A 7 Bossyness 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Willful Desire 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Blowthruyelowlites 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Ellie Victorina 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Icestorming 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Rowsie Express 3.50 SCRATCH
1 5 Goldieness 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Only Child 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Branco Maria 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Total Effort 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Shady Munni 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lookin for Justice 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Captain Cardo 30.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Never Change 1.80 5.5 10-1
2 2 Notion to Tapit 15.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Divine Proportion 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Noah Chance 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 On the Mark 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Prove Right 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Tiz No Clown 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Orocovix 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Drew’s Gold 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bubba Chrome 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Strong Finish 1.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Duke of Dooly 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Anniesallinclusive 20.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Ship Master 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Spunky Irishman 30.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Great Googlymoogly 3.50 7.8 15-1
4 4 Step Ahead 4.50 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.