Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Toast to Coast | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Occasional Moon | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gaming Soul | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cloud Music | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sergeant Sherman | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maryland Moon | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alligator Arms | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ask Him Oakey | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Top Boss | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Cairo Kid | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nashvegas | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Great Go Go | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Rusty Raymond | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hagler | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loaded Sniper | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vax a Nation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Millbank Man | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dover Bluff | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masterwork | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North Highland | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Home School | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Your Life | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Union Fleet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Ice | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tate | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luigi’s Spirit | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abuelo Paps | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mailman’s a Flyer | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burgee | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oro de Moro Moro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | She’ll Make Waves | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Bossyness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Willful Desire | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blowthruyelowlites | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ellie Victorina | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icestorming | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rowsie Express | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Goldieness | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Only Child | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Branco Maria | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Total Effort | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shady Munni | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Justice | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Cardo | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Never Change | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notion to Tapit | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Divine Proportion | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Noah Chance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On the Mark | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prove Right | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz No Clown | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orocovix | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drew’s Gold | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bubba Chrome | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Finish | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Dooly | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anniesallinclusive | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ship Master | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spunky Irishman | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Great Googlymoogly | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Step Ahead | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.