Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Inch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doncic | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherubic Factor | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crew Dragon | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Samurai | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shut Up Michael (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Law Abiding | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Drop Shot | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vinny the Coin | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Dad Is Thirsty | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extra Innings | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Amigo | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Algeria (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Swede | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nauvoo | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Careless Kitten | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Feminine | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tennessee Moon | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Side by Side | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Kentucky Rose | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irresistible Force | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Color | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paid in Gold | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baladi | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Endeavor | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Motown Music | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Act | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impossible Task | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hembree | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saffa’s Day | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hariboux (GB) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finally Here | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kanderel | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barsabas | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Il Capitano | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Hang Charlie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adare Manor | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shared Future | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Switch | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ganadora | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Macho Girl | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Una Chiquitita (CHI) | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Like No Other | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Again | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Point and Shoot | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carole Lombard | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Temper | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm d’Oro | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hopes | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loyal to a Fault | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.