Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 31, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Inch 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Doncic 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cherubic Factor 2.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Crew Dragon 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Stormy Samurai 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Shut Up Michael (IRE) 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Law Abiding 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lemon Drop Shot 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Vinny the Coin 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 My Dad Is Thirsty 6.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Extra Innings 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 My Amigo 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Algeria (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Big Swede 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Nauvoo 1.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 Careless Kitten 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Divine Feminine 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tennessee Moon 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Side by Side 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Our Kentucky Rose 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Irresistible Force 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 In Color 3.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Paid in Gold 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Baladi 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bold Endeavor 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Zimba Warrior 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Motown Music 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Royal Act 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Impossible Task 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hembree 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Saffa’s Day 12.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Hariboux (GB) 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Finally Here 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Kanderel 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Barsabas 3.50 6.7 13-1
7 7 Il Capitano 6.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 No Hang Charlie 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Adare Manor 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Shared Future 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Big Switch 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ganadora 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Tiz a Macho Girl 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Una Chiquitita (CHI) 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Like No Other 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Golden Again 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Point and Shoot 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Carole Lombard 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Golden Temper 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Storm d’Oro 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Big Hopes 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Loyal to a Fault 4.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.