Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gut Feeling | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salto de Tigre | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Norgay | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoke and Heat | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afjan | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dontbelate | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| Afjan | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Central Pride | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trevor Bardette | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juggler | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clash A. J. | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got the Gold | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Charming | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mshindi | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bronx Bomber | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Return | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foolish Ghost | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gandy Dancing | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Tiger | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Masked Marauder | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Simply | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gentleman Joe | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alcools | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost in Rome | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blake B. | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jumpster | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Chase | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Plate Special | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pete N Billy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meteorite | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freudmein | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Z Dancer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caldo Candy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forty One Tales | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fluorescent Bay | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brunate | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Beat Me | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Mayor | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Shooter | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fenway | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectatorless | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catching Cupid | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Boy Cheekum | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Life Changer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Money Supply | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Seeker | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaz’s Beach | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watasha | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Law | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Cat | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ryan’s Cat | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hold the Salsa | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Excelsior S.) – Excelsior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Law Professor | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miles D | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbonic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keystone Field | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forewarned | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Portos | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super Coach Fred | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Honor | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brass Monkey | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let Freedom Spring | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Again | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zoomster | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Despeight Fortune | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharpoon | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Weapon | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.