Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | I’m a Sure Thing | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Literate | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Millennium Park | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blackdiamond Dinny | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Town Mayhem | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | May Fane | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prerequisite | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spansive | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gloria’s Princess | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Smart | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gravy | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ogema Bay | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Empathy | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Crusader | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Harmony | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jerry’s Turn | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gotta Like Him | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Racket | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chucka Moon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Point Liam | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mr. American | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Global Pride | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nowitzki | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arms | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Tomorrow | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Cutler Bay S.) – Cutler Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dunedin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drinking Problem | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King’s Fortune | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harry Time (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spy Novel | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Kiss | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Behind Enemy Lines (GB) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anglophile | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smoke Lightening | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bright Future | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O Captain | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slim Slow Slider | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin At Roses | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Game | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Ruler | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Blute | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Armour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Pan American S. Presented By Rood & Riddle) – Pan American S. Presented By Rood & Riddle
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Fast | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abaan | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Therapist | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Novo Sol (BRZ) | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Master Piece (CHI) | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bay Street Money | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California Frolic | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ry’s the Guy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Holy Foley | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Tap | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Get Your Kicks | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Value | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mirabella | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Every Time | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Rhapsody | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secrets Galore | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Milan Mischief | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andromache | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meow Meow Hiss | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Archangel | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Starship Agenda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Why Waste Words | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ghostzapper S.) – Ghostzapper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Captain | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simplification | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surly Furious | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O’Connor (CHI) | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twelve Volt Man | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clapton | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun’s Magic | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Orchid S.) – Orchid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Transient (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Best | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Yearwood | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Grace (GER) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viburnum | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Atomic Blonde (GER) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Arsinoe | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tamarindo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sir Shackleton S.) – Sir Shackleton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Octane | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weyburn | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Prankster | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dean Delivers | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steal Sunshine | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Collaborate | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paco’s Pico | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mish | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Glaze | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Sand Springs S.) – Sand Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marketsegmentation | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love in the Air | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Enough (GB) | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arm Candy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Hoity Toity | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Theorem | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perseverancia | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kahiko | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cafe Society | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jouza (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Sanibel Island S.) – Sanibel Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Breath Away (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Metaphysical | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Appeals | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Hamilton | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mohawk Trail | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riding Pretty | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Faccia Bella | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aunt Shirley | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Joy | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Astor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Gulfstream Park Oaks Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Gulfstream Park Oaks Presented By Fanduel Tv
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affirmative Lady | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Atomically | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flakes | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Wish | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dorth Vader | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Affirmative Lady | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Diamond | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Katherine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Appleton S.) – Appleton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Striker | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’spuregold | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray’s Fable | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steady On | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Dormy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roaring Forties | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Churchtown | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | County Final | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Washington | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Curlin | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winfromwithin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa) – Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mage | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Forte | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 11 | 11 | Forte | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fort Bragg | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cyclone Mischief | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jungfrau | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shaq Diesel | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mage | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dubyuhnell | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Il Miracolo | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Ripple | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nautical Star | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Peeks | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West Coast Cowboy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.