Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Into Love | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Bolt | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mary’s Boon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Attitude | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chanisa | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First Love | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goddess of War | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luv Map | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Penzig | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Storming | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pattern Bet | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Five Queens | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Choctaw Charlie | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Way Or Another | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hamazing Debate | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gramercy Park | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mocha Kiss | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oochie | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chai Tea | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Violent Point | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silvia | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hypersport | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rollin Chrome | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunders Rocknroll | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ribbonsinherhair | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Osiria | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Je Suis Rapide | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Worker | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Jack | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cyclone | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speakinofthedevil | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | P R Call Me Maybe | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zambezi | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Federal Judge | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingmaker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Oaklawn Mile S.) – Oaklawn Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver Prospector | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Hopper | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Status | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caddo River | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smile Happy | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Prospector | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Necker Island | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atoka | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Next Thursday | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Lass | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delta Moon | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Mae | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ngala | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arden Ar | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Melania T | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Hadley | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aloha Baby | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greer Crossing | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Double | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gar Hole | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chipofftheoldblock | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Osbourne | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Much Better | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Straight No Chaser | 1.40 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Wellington | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruggs | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mowins | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Hot Springs S.) – Hot Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eyeing Clover | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Pilot | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cactus | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocking Rocket | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Powerful | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carmel Road | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Departure | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Route Runner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seeking Unity | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quality Chic | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tahoe Run | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Auto Glide | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Manta Rey | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Rascal | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night Effect | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juilliard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Game Keeper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fantasy S.) – Fantasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wet Paint | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Condensation | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Towhead | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wet Paint | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Olivia Twist | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Love | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pate | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taxed | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Briana | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Spa | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Favorite Outlaw | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breslau | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go West | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emerald Forest | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapit’s Spirit | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Exxel | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Perry | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer in Malibu | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rider’s Special | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ignitis | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Absolute Chaos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Arkansas Derby) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel of Empire | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Airtime | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harlocap | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reincarnate | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Route One | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angel of Empire | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Can | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Bash | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Eagles River | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Russell | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Interlock Empire | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kolomio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knocker Down | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Back Ring Luck | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Costa Terra | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tonka Warrior | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Megan’s Honor | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outlier | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Efficiency | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mamzooj | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Emerald Express | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Charter Oak | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Conspiracy Fact | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lord Captain | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.