Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Into Love 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Beautiful Bolt 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mary’s Boon 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sharp Attitude 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Chanisa 4.50 6.1 12-1
9 9 First Love 8.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Goddess of War 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Luv Map 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Penzig 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 She’s Storming 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Pattern Bet 5.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Five Queens 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Choctaw Charlie 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 One Way Or Another 2.00 4 8-1
9 9 Hamazing Debate 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Gramercy Park 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mocha Kiss 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Oochie 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Chai Tea 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Violent Point 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Silvia 5.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Hypersport 1.80 2.6 5-1
7 7 Rollin Chrome 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Thunders Rocknroll 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Ribbonsinherhair 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Osiria 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Je Suis Rapide 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miracle Worker 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Runaway Jack 1.60 1.1 2-1
8 8 Cyclone 15.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Speakinofthedevil 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 P R Call Me Maybe 30.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Zambezi 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Federal Judge 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Kingmaker 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Oaklawn Mile S.) – Oaklawn Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Silver Prospector 0 0-1
7 7 Hopper 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Hero Status 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Caddo River 4.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Smile Happy 1.80 3.5 7-1
4 4 Silver Prospector 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Necker Island 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Atoka 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Next Thursday 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sassy Lass 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Delta Moon 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Magnolia Mae 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Ngala 1.80 4.2 8-1
7 7 Arden Ar 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Melania T 30.00 8 15-1
8 8 Princess Hadley 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 Aloha Baby 6.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Greer Crossing 50.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Miss Double 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gar Hole 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chipofftheoldblock 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Osbourne 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Much Better 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Straight No Chaser 1.40 4.6 9-1
2 2 Sir Wellington 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Ruggs 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mowins 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Hot Springs S.) – Hot Springs S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eyeing Clover 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Gun Pilot 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Cactus 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Rocking Rocket 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Powerful 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Carmel Road 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Frosted Departure 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Route Runner 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Seeking Unity 2.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Quality Chic 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Tahoe Run 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Auto Glide 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Manta Rey 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 War Rascal 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Night Effect 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Juilliard 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Game Keeper 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Fantasy S.) – Fantasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wet Paint 0 0-1
10 10 Condensation 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Towhead 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Wet Paint 1.60 2.9 6-1
9 9 Olivia Twist 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Grand Love 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Pate 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 She’s Lookin Lucky 2.50 8.5 16-1
4 4 Taxed 30.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Take Charge Briana 20.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Royal Spa 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Favorite Outlaw 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Breslau 6.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Go West 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Emerald Forest 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ultimate 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Tapit’s Spirit 30.00 5 10-1
11 11 Exxel 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Dr. Perry 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Summer in Malibu 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Rider’s Special 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Ignitis 30.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Absolute Chaos 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Arkansas Derby) – Arkansas Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Angel of Empire 0 0-1
5 5 Airtime 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Harlocap 15.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Reincarnate 2.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 Red Route One 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Angel of Empire 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Rocket Can 4.00 6 11-1
1 1 Bourbon Bash 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Two Eagles River 10.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 King Russell 30.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Interlock Empire 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Kolomio 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fifty Cent Dollars 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Knocker Down 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Back Ring Luck 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Costa Terra 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Tonka Warrior 12.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Megan’s Honor 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Outlier 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Efficiency 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Mr. Thunderstruck 10.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Mamzooj 20.00 11 21-1
10 10 Emerald Express 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Charter Oak 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Conspiracy Fact 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lord Captain 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.