Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Procrastination 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Carmen Miranda 1.80 2.4 5-1
2 2 Denim in Gold 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Liv and Let Liv 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Benedict Canyon 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Power Surge 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shambala Girl 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Smiling Amy 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Miss Jo’s Candy 20.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Sheza Lucky Charm 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Don’s Dayna 3.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Blursday 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Oak Creek Gal 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Code Ribbon 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Annie’s Song (IRE) 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Vandalia 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Too Much Heaven 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Flat Out Joy 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 A New Peace 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Texthelegend 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Palagio 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lift Off 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Flat On 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Ultimate Gamble 1.80 4.2 8-1
5 5 Seventeen Black 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Billbernjoejohnick 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ghostly Act 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Six Feet 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Ship and Scam 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tizz a Good Thing 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Uncle John 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Gold Express 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 We Need Marketing 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Pars and Birdies 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mighty Matt 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Afternoon Heat 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Catbernay 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Box of Chocolates 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Midnight Special 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Mr. Clutch 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Pedro Perez 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Vicente’s Shadow 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Royal Heroine S.) – Royal Heroine S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Closing Remarks 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Very Scary 6.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 School Dance 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Honey Jar 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Seisai (IRE) 3.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Nadette (FR) 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Donttestyourluck 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Chaokoon 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Batukhan (IRE) 1.20 2.3 4-1
4 4 Storming Chrome 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Take Charge Curly 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Shady Star 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tim’s Tribute 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Agapetos 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Bye Bye Buggsy 12.00 1 2-1
9 8 Katerini 15.00 1.5 3-1
12 11 Real Fire 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Good Boo Joo 15.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Slam Diego 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Ghostem 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Spanning the Globe 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Glenall (IRE) 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Peppermint Flirt 30.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 An Agent Mistake 4.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Weemissgrammy 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 98 Sensible Move 0.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.