Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Power in Numbers 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Pioneering Spirit 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Cloud Forest 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Predicted 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Golden Purchase 30.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Will Be Famous 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Pretty Miss Keens 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Goldieness 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Audit Committee 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Joeybignose 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Joey the Fish 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Welcometomyworld 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Afilada 1.20 1.1 2-1
5 5 Germany Jayvo 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Bounty Killah 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Shaymyname 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Extessa 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vive Bien 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Southern Passage 3.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Ginnsu Warrior 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Star Attitude 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Bourbon’s Hope 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Raw Courage 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bustin Bay 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Mia Bea Star 1.40 1.1 2-1
3 3 Caramocha 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Curly Girl 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Amity Island 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Freddymo Factor 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Master of None 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Winning Connection 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Incantation 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Going in Style 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Inspeightoftrainer 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Kingfish Stevens 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Top Flight S.) – Top Flight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kathleen O. 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Falconet 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Mommasgottarun 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Let Her Inspire U 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Timeless Journey 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Sweet Willemina 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Easy to Bless 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Carbon 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Liberty Flame 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Divine Wine 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Focus 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Ben’s Sunny Island 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Mostly Harmless 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bonana Fanna Foe 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Fuligni 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.