Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reup 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Backgate Red 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mo Choctaw 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Street Commander 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Topf Road Rules 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Westover 3.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Braska 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Al’s Romeo 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kid Shelleen 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ben Dreaming 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Royal Air Force 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Hard to Come By 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Chrome Run 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Wellwrit 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 What’s Up Doc 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 She’s a Rocket 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Valiant Praise 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Stay Fabulous 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sweet Nellie 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 I’m So Funny 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Insensitive 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Free Will 30.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 I’m Beth Dutton 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Super Cindy 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Burninhunkoflove 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Acehigh Royal 12.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Upstriker 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Grapnel 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Title Shot 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Yacht Rock (IRE) 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Rum ‘n Tonic 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Atras 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Geaux Yoshka 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Southern Sunset 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Nyquick 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Simovic 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Juilliard 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Citizen 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Unload 3.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Texas Pride 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Gatlinburg 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Mad Hustle 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lamutanaatty 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Banjo Bear 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Improbable Journey 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 League of Legends 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Texas Red Hot 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Matts Fire N Ice 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Lucky Boss 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Penetrator 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Out Run’m 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Conspiracy Fact 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Pats Property 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Winterwood 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Magoo 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Major General 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Saqeel 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Antigravity 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Charter Oak 6.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Trafalgar 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Temperence Hill S.) – Temperence Hill S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lone Rock 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Warrant 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Strong Tide 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Mystic Night 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Full Charge 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Calibrate 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cybertown 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Storm Strategy 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Empyreal Shadow 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Jim Ned 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Wicked Prince 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Sir Peel 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Seeking Chrome 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Madmartigan 4.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Natorade 10.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Ready Shoes 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Four Dice 30.00 9.8 19-1
12 12 Willie Win 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.