Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 K D Kakes 0.60 1 2-1
1 1 Midnight Rosie 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Spatial Reality 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Franca 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Glocca Morra 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sarah’s Pride 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bastet 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Sweet as Sugar 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 London Gold 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Ice Cold Gold 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Darn That Song 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Idaka 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Melting Snow 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Customerexperience 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Dame Cinco 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Baba 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Alpine Queen 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Mon Petit Chou 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Glory Road 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Lohengrin Two 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Hero Tiger 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Reed Kan 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Gaslight 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Golden Juan 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Charlie Five O 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spirit of St Louis 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Golden Code 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Mason Mania 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Olympic Dreams 10.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Jumpster 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Kaz Sugar Bank 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Cumberland Blues 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Winter Pool 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Hammerin Aamer 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kumar 4.00 1.9 3-1
1A 6 Caribbean (AUS) 4.00 1.9 3-1
6 7 Warrior in Chief 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Truculent 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Vintage Hollywood 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sailor Speed 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tonal Impact 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Celestial Moon 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Kuchar 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Anejo 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Treasure Trove 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Commandperformance 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Danseur d’Oro 2.50 1 2-1
8 9 Splashy 3.50 1.5 3-1
1A 4 Foxy Cara 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 8 Midnite Confession 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 2 Dream On Cara 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 5 Shaman Princess 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 7 Run Chata 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Red Jasmine 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Sweetie 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.