Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | K D Kakes | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Rosie | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spatial Reality | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Franca | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glocca Morra | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Pride | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bastet | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet as Sugar | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | London Gold | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Cold Gold | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darn That Song | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Idaka | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Melting Snow | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Customerexperience | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dame Cinco | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baba | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Queen | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mon Petit Chou | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Glory Road | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lohengrin Two | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hero Tiger | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reed Kan | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gaslight | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Juan | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie Five O | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of St Louis | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Code | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mason Mania | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Dreams | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jumpster | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cumberland Blues | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Winter Pool | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kumar | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Caribbean (AUS) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Warrior in Chief | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truculent | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Hollywood | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor Speed | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tonal Impact | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Moon | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kuchar | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anejo | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure Trove | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commandperformance | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Danseur d’Oro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Splashy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Foxy Cara | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Midnite Confession | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Dream On Cara | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Shaman Princess | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Run Chata | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Red Jasmine | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.