Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flaming East 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Military Hop 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Spring the Beast 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Jimmy the Kid 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Wild Behavior 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Pressing Concern 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Baptize the Boy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fancee Grace C 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Ojitos Bellos 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Vegas Wild Cat 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Cocktail Dreaming 1.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Don’t Tell Deren 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Irish Lace 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hearditall 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Goodafternoonoscar 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Porch Swing 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Sheriff Ronnie 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Home School 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Langlee Avenue 1.20 3.9 7-1
5 5 Fierce and Strong 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carroll Girl 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mo Fire 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 If Then 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Miss Chamita 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Nibbles 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sweet Talia 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lucky Lorraine 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Anath 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Per Diem 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Superstitieux 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Patriotic Party 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Great Days Ahead 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Shadow Box 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Urban Bandit 10.00 5 10-1
4 4 Bustinupishardtodo 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shoot Themessenger 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Velvet Ghost 4.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Curlington 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Hot N Spicy Love 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Albertano 2.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Antipoison 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Muchacho Macho 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Sassy King 30.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 El Hermano 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Grand Wiser 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Haleigh B 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Tweet Away Robin 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Betcha by Golly 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 That’s Some Kiss 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Smart Eulee 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 La Familia 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Queen Tapiture 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 General J R 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 That’s My Business 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Elusive Image 10.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Moon Sign 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Munnis Pretty 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Food Foodie 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Imagine It 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.