Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cheeky Tico 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bert Bert Bert 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Midnight Chrome 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Sorpreso 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Ghostlyprince 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Papi On Ice 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Balpool 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Fancy Azteca 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 La Vita Sofia 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Crimson 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Aniston 4.50 5 9-1
Balpool 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 April Antics 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 In Traffic 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Bravo Regina 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ricelle 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sweet Sensation 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Crystal Orb 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Factually Correct 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Electric Stuff 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Twenty Six Black 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Itsallcomintogetha 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ripe for Mischief 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 New York Panther 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Woodside Warrior 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Uncle Marty 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Tie Breaker 20.00 10 19-1
6 6 Impulsive Spending 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Awesome Native 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Baldizar 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Listentoyourheart 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Prince of Pharoahs 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Writer’s Regret 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Breaking Stones 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Durkin’s Call 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 First Deputy 12.00 8 15-1
Prince of Pharoahs 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Majority Partner 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Shutters 1.80 1.1 2-1
1 1 Easter (FR) 2.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Three Jokers 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Emboite (IRE) 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Constitutionlawyer 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 So High (GB) 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Soulmate 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Giant’s Fire 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Standup 50.00 12 23-1
9 9 Hot Love 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Distaff H.) – Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rossa Veloce 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Gerrymander 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Pass the Champagne 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Funny How 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Mommasgottarun 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Easy to Bless 15.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Hydra 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Meraviglioso 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Launch Control 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Scherzando 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Disarmed 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Gem Mint Ten 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Pop Coyer 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Malibu Mystery 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Russi 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Newport Bridge 10.00 7 13-1
11 11 Storm the Empire 12.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Makar 15.00 11 21-1
8 8 Unaffected 15.00 11 21-1
Disarmed 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.