Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cheeky Tico | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bert Bert Bert | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Chrome | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sorpreso | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostlyprince | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papi On Ice | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Balpool | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Azteca | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Vita Sofia | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crimson | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aniston | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| Balpool | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | April Antics | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Traffic | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bravo Regina | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ricelle | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sensation | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Orb | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Factually Correct | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Electric Stuff | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Six Black | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsallcomintogetha | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ripe for Mischief | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New York Panther | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Woodside Warrior | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Marty | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tie Breaker | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impulsive Spending | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Native | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baldizar | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Listentoyourheart | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Pharoahs | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Writer’s Regret | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking Stones | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Durkin’s Call | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Deputy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| Prince of Pharoahs | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Majority Partner | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shutters | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easter (FR) | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Three Jokers | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emboite (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Constitutionlawyer | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allaboutthemoney | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So High (GB) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soulmate | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giant’s Fire | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Standup | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Love | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Distaff H.) – Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rossa Veloce | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gerrymander | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pass the Champagne | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Funny How | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mommasgottarun | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy to Bless | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hydra | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meraviglioso | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Launch Control | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scherzando | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disarmed | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gem Mint Ten | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop Coyer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Mystery | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Russi | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Newport Bridge | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Storm the Empire | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Makar | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unaffected | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| Disarmed | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.