Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Angelcents 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Sheza Girly Girl 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Baby Kristen 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Aunt Opal 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Ready Jet Go 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Over Attracted 12.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Take a Leap 6.00 8 15-1
3 3 Little Rachel 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Clooney 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mucino 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Excel Calculator 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Golden Sombrero 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Riverside 3.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Blue Dog 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Looks Rare 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Albayaader (IRE) 1.40 1 2-1
2 1 Stressed 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 4 Dendera 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 98 Midnight Vow 0.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Think of Anita 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Daddy Classy Dill 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lov U Mean It 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Doris Mae 1.80 1.2 2-1
7 7 Big Shamrock 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Vella 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 She’s a Joker 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Squared Shady 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Saturday Heist 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spain Moonlight (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Magic Light 12.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Spicybug 12.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Sweet Trouble 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Lulu Lemon Drop 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Annie’s Joy 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Tiff With Jimmy 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Irish Rose 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 Hayley Levade 6.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mystic Tbilisi 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Honeymoon Suite 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Ferociously 2.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Quick Intro 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Lampy 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Silent Sunday 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Curly Esa 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Olympic Legend 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Magic Game 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bold Choice 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Timely Luck 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Isabel Ludlow 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Warrior Lady 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Love Our Family 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Big Update 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Square Fun 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Cee Minus 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Long Mayshe Reign 10.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Tap in Nine 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Colt Fiction 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sunrise Journey 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mastering 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Red Flag 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Howbeit 2.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tigre Di Slugo 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Sunshine Babe 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Orth 15.00 2 4-1
3 3 Anitanewmercedes 6.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Shortman 20.00 4.8 9-1
12 11 Club Cal 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Just About Enough 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Atomic Drop 4.00 6.1 12-1
9 8 Mamba Cool 3.50 8 15-1
10 9 Mischievous Path 8.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Worse Read Sanchez 6.00 8.9 17-1
6 5 Talklessworkmore 6.00 11.8 22-1
5 98 Catalina Eddy 0.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.