Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Union Lights 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Downtown Connector 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Patrick the Great 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dee’s Speedstre 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Kong Loves a Fight 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Romanoatsee 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Grand Manner 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Loon Cry 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Stolen Future 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Lady Laoban 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Cerretta 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Autumn 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mz Big Bucks 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Central Speed 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 My Cara Mia Mine 15.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Phinneys Harbor 15.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Purest Performance 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Bushwick 30.00 11 21-1
Stolen Future 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Gazelle S.) – Gazelle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Occult 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Capella 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Shidabhuti 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Gambling Girl 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Frosty O Toole 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Promiseher America 12.00 6 11-1
Promiseher America 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Let It Ride 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Treaty Obligation 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 American Hustle 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Subrogate 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Mistical Curlin 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Common Prosperity 12.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Equalizer 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Monetize It (GB) 1.60 1 2-1
1A 5 Utilization Rate (FR) 1.60 1 2-1
9 10 Check Engine Light 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 8 She’s Mo Bubbly 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 2 Biloxi Blues 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 9 Undoubtedly 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Bollinger 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Zappera 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 6 Tryinmyheartout 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 7 My Girl Jal 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Bay Shore S.) – Bay Shore S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Joey Freshwater 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Victory Way 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Gilmore 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Prove Right 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Expected Value 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Daydreaming Boy 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Arrebato 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 New Ginya 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 My First Love 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Waterville 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Eau Claire 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sweetest Princess 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Collaboration 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Lady Jasmine 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Amanda’s Folly 20.00 10 19-1
6 6 Shasi 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Carter H. Presented By Nyra Bets) – Carter H. Presented By Nyra Bets

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Repo Rocks 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 White Abarrio 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Little Vic 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Today’s Flavor 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Expressman 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Bold Journey 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Doppelganger 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Know It All Audrey 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Veronica Greene 1.40 1.1 2-1
2 2 Expand the Map (IRE) 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Candle 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Caironi 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Yo Cuz 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Into Happiness 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Geyser Road 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strictly Taboo 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Red Hot Chick 4.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Weekend Rags 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lakeside Getaway 5.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Inde Symphony 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Limani 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Galatrona 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Admire My Crown 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Charisse 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Practical Julia 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Snowy Evening 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 She’s a Natural 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino) – Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Hit Show 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dreamlike 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Slip Mahoney 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Arctic Arrogance 6.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Classic Catch 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Crupi 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Shadow Dragon 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Clear the Air 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 General Banker 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Uncle Jake 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Lord Miles 30.00 8 15-1
12 12 Mr. Swagger 30.00 8 15-1
3 3 Knox 50.00 13 25-1
Lord Miles 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.