Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Super Renee | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Only Time | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halo of Fire | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Foot | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Azul Tequila | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Social Mandate | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chi Town Heat | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Hayley | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gin N Sin | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucy Jane | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cupids Payday | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hot Anna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Foxann | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kotyle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Again | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Equivoque | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dual Monarchy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Le Bar | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Home Run Hank | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Photo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mullikin | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Accident | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Rey | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bettera | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mamba On Three | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ibrim | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tightrope | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kanthari | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willtorun | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky and Sand | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Aaron | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mischievous Rogue | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond City | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stonevicious | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Bear | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeopardy Theory | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Fitzpatrick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Agent Peter Graves | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Let My People Go | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Our Shot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fortin Hill | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kneedeepinsnow | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Time | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Technique | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Alfred James | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dash Attack | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manny Wah | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steinbeck | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Commonwealth S.) – Commonwealth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcon’s Mo | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Heart Rhythm | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Run Classic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Here Mi Song | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nakatomi | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Rhythm | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoist the Gold | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pro Oxidant | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get Her Number | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spankster | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Long Range Toddy | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legionnaire | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pleasant Passage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Bella | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Consort | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papilio (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Sunday | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Well Into | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sabalenka | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautifulnavigator (IRE) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Madison S.) – Madison S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goodnight Olive | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Society | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yuugiri | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maryquitecontrary | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cocktail Moments | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Shakertown S.) – Shakertown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Artemus Citylimits | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Arrest Me Red | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caravel | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mark of the Z | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Mmmmm | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Beat Brian | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oceanic | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Unleashed | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stitched | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bakers Bay | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Emotion | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All in Sync | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nobody Listens | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Toyota Blue Grass S.) – Toyota Blue Grass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scoobie Quando | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Verifying | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Trice | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mendelssohns March | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Major Blue | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Raise Cain | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Car Wash | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clear the Air | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sun Thunder | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blazing Sevens | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hayes Strike | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Squire Creek | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Light | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gilcrease | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Notah | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frog Town | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Libertango | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deer District | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Headley | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mondego (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scat Tu Tap | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Operation Torch | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Got Swagger | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Tony | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Decanted | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lincoln Highway | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Augustus Blue | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fixitwithforward | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wimhof | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Collier’s Time | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regimental | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Royal Sandrin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gettleman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Just So | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Monba Quake | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.