Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thorne House 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Southern Horse (ARG) 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Doitforandrew (GB) 4.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Forgiving Spirit 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Anmer Hall 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 King Apollo 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 One Flew South 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Subsidize 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Adare 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Heat’s On Zap 15.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 Dancing Rinca 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Evening Jewel S.) – Evening Jewel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ceiling Crusher 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Tom’s Regret 1.60 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lov U Mean It 20.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Cholly 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Absolutely Zero 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Time to Party 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Yeng Again 3.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Cash Equity (FR) 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Flashiest 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Fayathaan (IRE) 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Carmelita’s Man 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Yes This Time 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tidal Forces 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Navy Man 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cavendish 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Dillinger 0.80 2.4 4-1
2 2 Bring Him Home 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mystification 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 El Perfecto 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Charles Whittingham S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Charles Whittingham S. Presented By Fanduel Tv

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Oncoming 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Offlee Naughty 12.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Midnight Jostar 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Masteroffoxhounds 2.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Opry 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Runhappy Santa Anita Derby) – Runhappy Santa Anita Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 One in Vermillion 50.00 1 2-1
6 6 National Treasure 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Dazzlemesilver 50.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Practical Move 1.60 3.8 7-1
3 3 Geaux Rocket Ride 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Skinner 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 I Don’t Get It 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Mandarin Hero (JPN) 8.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Low Expectations 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Echo Eddie S.) – Echo Eddie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Clouseau 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kangaroo Court 1.20 2 4-1
5 5 Left Hand Man 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Clovisconnection 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bus Buzz 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Good N Thirsty 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Barely Funtional 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 98 Austonian 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lost In Space (IRE) 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Seven Wonders 6.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Genius Jimmy 15.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Agatino (IRE) 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Balladeer 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Irish Prophet 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Jeweled Shillelagh 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Silver Surfer (GB) 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Coalinga Road 4.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Reckless Spirit 3.50 9.9 19-1
10 10 General Mathis 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lovesick Blues 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Manitowish 5.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Clem Labine 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Next Revolt 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Teton Valley 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Self Taught 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Joker Boy 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Joe Don Looney 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 My Harbors Dream 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Monrovia S.) – Monrovia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tom’s Beauty 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Big Summer 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 One Silk Stocking 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Stella Noir 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Leggs Galore 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Canoodling 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Kirstenbosch 15.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Freedom Flyer 6.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Amy C (GB) 3.50 8.6 16-1
1 1 Elm Drive 15.00 9 17-1
2 2 Awake At Midnyte 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Santa Anita Oaks) – Santa Anita Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Faiza 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 And Tell Me Nolies 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Clearly Unhinged 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Gila 30.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Princess Bettina 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Window Shopping 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Venganza 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Don’t Get Pickled 30.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Cliquish 20.00 6.3 12-1
Window Shopping 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Shocking Grey 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Unfaithful Ways 12.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Chloe’s Crown 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ultimate Hy 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Rebel Girl 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Scarabea 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Annaghlasa (IRE) 3.50 7.3 14-1
7 7 Precious Baby 20.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Howboutdemapples 12.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Act of Serendipity 50.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Ancient Peace 4.00 10.9 21-1
5 5 Rose Barton (IRE) 15.00 11 21-1
1 1 Corporal Violette (IRE) 6.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.