Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Escape Artist 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Raji 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ridley’s Major 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Precision Strike 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Nuclear 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Stonks 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Teen Drama 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lunatic 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Twentyseventrouts 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Big Bell 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Never Sway 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Careless Star 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Roses R Blue 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Majestic Gigi 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 See Through It 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Barristan The Bold (GB) 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Maven 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Chaos Theory 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Butkus 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Natural Power (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Katonah 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Finneus 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Hembree 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Show Time 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Bletchley Park 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 It’s My House 3.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Mobou 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Coulthard (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Whatmakessammyrun 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Respect the Code 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 For All Mankind 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Noble Reflection 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Fast Buck 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Savile Row 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Conch Daddy 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Mongolian Ford 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mitico 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Gator Shining 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Cross Examine 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Stir the Pot 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (John Shear S.) – John Shear S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Conclude 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Nullarbor 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Mas Rapido (GB) 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Valiancer 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 First Peace 4.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Marks Hip 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Fleet Feet 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Helladic 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cowboy Mike 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chief Council 30.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Blue Cheese Olive 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Ship and Scam 30.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Tapatio Leo 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Tom Horn 15.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Seattle Surf 15.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Carol’s Comic 15.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Stella Boy 20.00 10.3 19-1
7 7 Austonian 2.50 10.8 20-1
4 4 Montana 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Beauty 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gypsy Lynn 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sensible Move 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Peppermint Flirt 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Majestic Steps (IRE) 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Dolly May (IRE) 2.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 A Crown for Kitten 12.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Dads Estrella 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Sweet Heidelberg 8.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Exactly Wendy 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Crypto Ride 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Big Hat Willie 5.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Stay in the Game 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Spiritist 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Warrens World 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Goldenspa 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Chick’s Dig It 4.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Soul of Midnight 2.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Strut On Louie 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Quagmire Magic 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Howboutdemapples 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lottery Pick 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Derecho Dandy 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Ko Samui (IRE) 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Circleofchampions 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Goldeneye 12.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 So I’m Told 15.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Ajaaweed 5.00 10 19-1
3 3 Big Flint 8.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Mitad Del Mundo 6.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 What a Dude 8.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.