Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Escape Artist | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raji | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ridley’s Major | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Precision Strike | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nuclear | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonks | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Teen Drama | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunatic | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twentyseventrouts | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bell | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Never Sway | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Careless Star | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roses R Blue | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Gigi | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | See Through It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maven | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaos Theory | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Butkus | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Natural Power (IRE) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Katonah | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finneus | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hembree | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show Time | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bletchley Park | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s My House | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mobou | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coulthard (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whatmakessammyrun | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respect the Code | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For All Mankind | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Reflection | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Buck | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Savile Row | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conch Daddy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Ford | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mitico | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gator Shining | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Examine | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stir the Pot | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (John Shear S.) – John Shear S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conclude | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nullarbor | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mas Rapido (GB) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valiancer | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Peace | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marks Hip | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fleet Feet | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helladic | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cowboy Mike | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Council | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Cheese Olive | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ship and Scam | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapatio Leo | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tom Horn | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Seattle Surf | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carol’s Comic | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stella Boy | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Austonian | 2.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montana | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Beauty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Lynn | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Move | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peppermint Flirt | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dolly May (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Crown for Kitten | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dads Estrella | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Heidelberg | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exactly Wendy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Crypto Ride | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Hat Willie | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay in the Game | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritist | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrens World | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldenspa | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chick’s Dig It | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Soul of Midnight | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strut On Louie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quagmire Magic | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Howboutdemapples | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lottery Pick | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Derecho Dandy | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ko Samui (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Circleofchampions | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goldeneye | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So I’m Told | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ajaaweed | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Flint | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mitad Del Mundo | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What a Dude | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.