Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Boy Colton 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Omerta Code 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Principe 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Junglherly Love 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Doctor Magic 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Bubby Papermaker 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Whirly’s Back 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Titanium Reckage 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Raisedaroofcharlie 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Florianopolis 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 God Still Loves Me 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Advocate Harbor 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Without a View 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Scarf 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Pearlbdancing 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Miss Alex 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Another Saucy Six 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Fall Campaign 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Crazy Serena 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Moving in Stereo 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Center Mid Maddie 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Smokey White 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Iconic Legacy 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Midlaner 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Abuelo Nuno 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Satchel de Ritches 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Aggrandize 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Polar Wind 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Causalistic 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Chain Reaction 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Just a Thought 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Singinthruthestorm 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 American Nightmare 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ilovecharlybrown 8.00 5 10-1
7 7 We Be There 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Fire’s Finale 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Nine Toe Johnny 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Runningforhome 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Jarlian 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Curlin’s Thrill 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Magnetron 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Distractandattack 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Strum and Pluck 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Enraged 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 The Method 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Recluse 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ava K’s Boy 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Gimmebackmybullets 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Full Contact 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Wheresthepassion 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Stevie T 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Tiempo Perfecto 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Lyfe Is Simple 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Reid’s Fangirl 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 One Pair of Hands 3.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Smarty Pants Sandy 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Rose Legacy 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Cup of Life 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 Tudor Peak 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Poor No More 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Random Luck 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Hip Hop Hooray 6.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Vanishing Faith 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lizzies Red Velvet 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Perfect Day 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 A Dangerous Guy 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Mutasallem 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Wizky’s On the Bay 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mr Sandman 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Jamie Dreams 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Celtic Heart 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Date Night Kisses 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Peach Perfect 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Trolley Ride 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Aegean Sea 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Eight Danzas 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Ninetypercentbrynn 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Irish Exit 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dreaming of Gerry 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Expensive Cut 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Super John 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Eagles Cry 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Seiche 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tough Tickets 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Manor House 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Don’t Dare Me 4.00 1 2-1
14 14 R Goodtime Charlie 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Keeping the Peace 3.50 5.6 11-1
9 9 Rockin Cowboy 4.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Dizzy Gillespie 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 King’s House 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Indirectly 10.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Pointer 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Crypt 5.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Hibachi 6.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Admiral Eastwood 15.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Cape May Style 20.00 11.6 22-1
11 11 Superhighway 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tio Wil 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.